Personal play for Thursday

Broncos +5.5, for those who are interested.

I think line closes around a FG so I took it for several dimes before it moves

Down to 4.5 when it finally came up. I bought the point. You think Baker will be out?

Thx for the early release DD

Just FYI, When I posted it was 5.5 at MGM Caesar and Bovada. Unfortunately, when all the sharps and people on forums start hitting a game the line drops. I see 4 now. I still like it.

I think if Baker Mayfield plays the injured shoulder will continue to affect his mechanics. Baker likes to rollout and since he was injured against the Texans trying to make a tackle on an interception he has not been the same. The main issue I see is accuracy. Whats the reason for this? Well Mayfield has a poor pocket presence, he looks uncomfortable back there and does not seem to be reading the field well. His mechanics, not normally great, are poor. He fails to take the easy throw. Add in the fact that the left side of his offensive line is not good and you have a panoply of problems. Finally there is the pressure of him wanting a big contract extension and his head is not in a good place. He is scrambling too much and at the first sign of trouble he panics. All in all, the Browns have won some games in spite of Baker. Watching yesterday's game at Circa I saw alot of things I didnt like and I dont think he will get it corrected by Thursday. Short week does not bode well for him.

As for the Broncos, they were going into a buzzsaw with that Raiders team, who instead of reeling from the Gruden scandal, they rallied around each other and made Denver look worse than they are. I would not be surprised to see the Broncos win the game outright and this line may continue to drop as heavy monday has come in on the Broncos all day.

TY for posting

While I appreciate the early post I have to also say thank you for that analysis. People often don’t realize guys like you put the time in to be successful. Thank you for all you do

Thanks for everything you do DD

Seeing Cleveland-2 now. Glad I got the +5.5. Ceenum makes me a little nervous.

You have a fabulous middle opportunity here DD.
will you play browns -1 and see if you get both? Do you think broncos win SU?

I was thinking about trying to middle it myself. I feel like I have about a 15% success rate when doing so.

Maybe middle it with a 6 pt teaser:
Cleveland +4 1/2
Over 34 1/2
and if you wait till just before game time you’ll possibly get even better numbers

I would probably do half of my wager taking Cleveland +4.5 and under 46, these teams won’t score, just my 2 cents

Tremendous call Dime Dog. Your post was the difference between this board winning and losing tonight’s game. Really appreciate all you do on this board.

Sir Dog!

Great job

Appreciate the love. Hope everyone here cashed in on that line early. That’s why I posted it early.

Awesome call
TY

Thanks DD! I took the Broncos +5 when the line came out and then took Browns ML last night and hit both on the middle!