Consider playing U w/ totals of 45 or more in Week 1 (77% - 79% win)

#1
Here is an interesting trend regarding Week 1 totals:
Since 1995, 9-30-2 O with a total of 45 or more (18 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).

Since 2001, 5-24-1 O with a total of 45 or more (15 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).

Since 2006, 2-9 O with a total of 45 or more (6 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).

The public is playing the 'team' without consideration to actual game time the teams have played during pre-season. There will be rust and that is why so many of the games go U by 10+ points.

4 years ago (2006)
CIN/KC 48.5 (23-10)
DEN/STL 45.5 (18-10)
SEA/DET bet at 45 closed at 44 (9-6)
IND/NYG 47.5 (26-21)

3 years ago (2007)
U 46.5 NO/IND (23-20)
U 45 AZ/SF (20-17)

2 years ago (2008)
U 48.5 DAL/CLE (28-10)

Last year (2009) 2-2
U49 DET/NO (45-27)
U46 SF/AZ (20-16)
U46 CHI/GB (21-15)
U47 BUF/NE (25-24)

2010
U48 MIN/NO
U46.5 IND/HOU
U47 GB/PHI
 

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