Consider the following Championship Game play

#1
42 Conference Championship playoff games since 85

NFC home teams: 14-7 SU, 12-9 ATS, 10-11 O/U
NFC HF: 13-5 SU, 11-7 ATS
NFC HF <-3: NONE, all HF except for one game was more than 3 points!

NFC #1 seeds: 13-7 SU, 11-9 ATS (only 1 #1 did not make it to the NFC Championship game)
NFC #1 seed vs. NFC #2 seed: 8-6 SU/ATS
NFC #1 seed HF vs. NFC #2 seed: 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS

Team w/ losing record LY A for Championship game: 3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS since 85.


AFC home teams: 11-10 SU, 9-12 ATS, 11-10 O/U
AFC HF: 11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS
AFC HF -3: 4-1 SU/ATS, 4-1 O
AFC #3 seed has never hosted the AFC Championship game. 0-2 SU/ATS away
AFC #4 seed: 4-0 SU/ATS away on AFC Championship game.

Favorites with regular record
3 game difference: 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS (CHI/NO)
Same record: 2-4 SU/ATS (IND/NE)

PLAYED
Bears -2


Saints O is stronger than Bears, however, Bears D is better (granted they have struggled lately, they do not give up the big play the Saints D does) than Saints. As always, I will take D over O everytime. Plus, weather will not be a factor. Local weather is calling for 1-3", however, flurries in the 2H.

Leaning IND -3


35-16-2 YTD (posted "played" plays); had a bye week 16-17
Divisional: 1-1
Wildcard: 3-0
Week 15: 2-2
Week 14: 2-0
Week 13: 1-2
Week 12: 4-1
Week 11: 2-0
Week 10: 3-1
Week 9: 1-1
Week 8: 2-1
Week 7: 2-2
Week 6: 2-1-1
Week 5: 2-2
Week 4: 0-1
Week 3: 1-1
Week 2: 3-0-1
Week 1: 4-0
 

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