So. Player,
Judging the Bowl season from a few games is tough. Majority of Favorites will be bet hard. This year so far the favorites are being bet at a 60-72% rate.
In the Clemson game you speak of, they actually opened at -9.5 and closed at -10.5. Georgia T opened at -7 and is sitting at -8 or -8.5
Last year if you followed and bet line moves from the opening line to closing line of one point or more, the result was 8 wins, 9 loses.
If you bet the line moves of the Favorites going down a point or more from opening to close (bet the Fav if line goes up, bet the Dog if the line went down) the results were 4 wins and 5 loses.