Monday Services
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:11 AM
KANSAS CITY -5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs are looking to bounce back after losing to the Raiders, their first defeat in their last 14 games. The Bills were crushed by the Titans and are playing on a short week vs. a team that had extra time to prepare and a chip on their shoulders. Buffalo has been horrible against the pass and the team is thin in the secondary. The Bills will surely be exposed by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. The Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home dog.
15-12 IN LAST 27 NFL ATS PICKS | +195
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:11 AM
KANSAS CITY -5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs are looking to bounce back after losing to the Raiders, their first defeat in their last 14 games. The Bills were crushed by the Titans and are playing on a short week vs. a team that had extra time to prepare and a chip on their shoulders. Buffalo has been horrible against the pass and the team is thin in the secondary. The Bills will surely be exposed by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. The Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home dog.
15-12 IN LAST 27 NFL ATS PICKS | +195
Oct 19Dwayne Bryant5%[NFL] (275) Arizona Cardinals at (276) Dallas Cowboys
Time: 8:15 PM EDTDallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)Analysis: 8:15 PM ET -- NFL
275 Arizona Cardinals
276 Dallas Cowboys
PLAY --> 276 DALLAS +1.5 (-110)
PLAYABLE at -1.5 or better
BET SIZE --> 5%
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
Talk about an overreaction. The look-ahead line for this game was Dallas -3. Then QB Dak Prescott goes down, and the line shifts to Arizona -3. No way is Prescott worth six points on the line over Andy Dalton. Dalton is arguably the best backup QB in the NFL. He spent many years as the starter for the Bengals, leading them to the playoffs on multiple occasions. Some would argue that the Cowboys could be better with Dalton under center because they're likely to lean on RB Ezekiel Elliott more, and Dallas has always been more successful the more the ball gets put in Zeke's hands. Also, more running plays means longer, time-consuming drives that keep that awful defense off the field.
Arizona's signature win was Week 1 at San Francisco. That win looked great then but doesn't impress now when you look at how the 49ers have played since then. Both teams have offensive line issues, and the Cardinals will be without star pass rusher Chandler Jones. Also, the Cardinals have a huge disadvantage in regards to scheduling. This is Arizona's third straight road game, while this is Dallas' third straight at home.
This qualifies under the "Injured Star Angle," in which a team tends to step up and play a great game in its first game without a star teammate. We got a glimpse of it after Dak went down last Sunday, and Dalton led the team to a victory. I expect that to carry over here, as the Cowboys step up to "win one for 4."
PLAY DALLAS.
Time: 8:15 PM EDTDallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)Analysis: 8:15 PM ET -- NFL
275 Arizona Cardinals
276 Dallas Cowboys
PLAY --> 276 DALLAS +1.5 (-110)
PLAYABLE at -1.5 or better
BET SIZE --> 5%
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
Talk about an overreaction. The look-ahead line for this game was Dallas -3. Then QB Dak Prescott goes down, and the line shifts to Arizona -3. No way is Prescott worth six points on the line over Andy Dalton. Dalton is arguably the best backup QB in the NFL. He spent many years as the starter for the Bengals, leading them to the playoffs on multiple occasions. Some would argue that the Cowboys could be better with Dalton under center because they're likely to lean on RB Ezekiel Elliott more, and Dallas has always been more successful the more the ball gets put in Zeke's hands. Also, more running plays means longer, time-consuming drives that keep that awful defense off the field.
Arizona's signature win was Week 1 at San Francisco. That win looked great then but doesn't impress now when you look at how the 49ers have played since then. Both teams have offensive line issues, and the Cardinals will be without star pass rusher Chandler Jones. Also, the Cardinals have a huge disadvantage in regards to scheduling. This is Arizona's third straight road game, while this is Dallas' third straight at home.
This qualifies under the "Injured Star Angle," in which a team tends to step up and play a great game in its first game without a star teammate. We got a glimpse of it after Dak went down last Sunday, and Dalton led the team to a victory. I expect that to carry over here, as the Cowboys step up to "win one for 4."
PLAY DALLAS.
Chiefs (4-1) @ Buffalo (4-1)
— Chiefs were upset at home by the Raiders this week, their first loss in five games.
— Chiefs won both their road games, 23-20OT/34-20.
— KC is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games following a SU loss.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their games this season.
— Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— NFC West squads are 11-6 outside the divisional, 2-1 as underdogs.
— Buffalo lost 42-16 in Tennessee Tuesday, its first loss in five games.
— Bills won both its home games, 27-17/35-32.
— Buffalo is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog.
— All five Buffalo games went over the total.
— Chiefs won three of last four series games; last meeting was 2017.
— Chiefs won last two visits to Buffalo; last one was in 2014.
Cardinals (3-2) @ Dallas (2-3)
— Third straight week on road for Arizona; they’re 2-1 on road so far.
— Arizona allowed 26-31 points in its losses; 20-15-10 in its wins.
— Cardinals have only one takeaway (-4) in their last three games.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.
— NFC West squads are 11-6 outside the divisional, 2-1 as underdogs.
— Dalton makes his first start for Dallas; he was 70-61-2 as a starter for the Bengals, over his nine years in Cincinnati.
— Cowboys had 440+ passing yards three weeks in row before last week- they’re averaging 76.2 snaps/game, most in NFL- will they keep up that pace?
— Last four games, Dallas has allowed 39-38-49-34 points.
— Last 4+ years, Cowboys are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— NFC East teams are 3-13 ATS outside their division, 0-8 at home.
— Home side won 13 of last 15 series games.
— Cardinals lost four of last five visits here; they won 28-17 last time they played here, in 2014.
— Chiefs were upset at home by the Raiders this week, their first loss in five games.
— Chiefs won both their road games, 23-20OT/34-20.
— KC is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games following a SU loss.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their games this season.
— Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— NFC West squads are 11-6 outside the divisional, 2-1 as underdogs.
— Buffalo lost 42-16 in Tennessee Tuesday, its first loss in five games.
— Bills won both its home games, 27-17/35-32.
— Buffalo is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog.
— All five Buffalo games went over the total.
— Chiefs won three of last four series games; last meeting was 2017.
— Chiefs won last two visits to Buffalo; last one was in 2014.
Cardinals (3-2) @ Dallas (2-3)
— Third straight week on road for Arizona; they’re 2-1 on road so far.
— Arizona allowed 26-31 points in its losses; 20-15-10 in its wins.
— Cardinals have only one takeaway (-4) in their last three games.
— Four of their five games stayed under the total.
— NFC West squads are 11-6 outside the divisional, 2-1 as underdogs.
— Dalton makes his first start for Dallas; he was 70-61-2 as a starter for the Bengals, over his nine years in Cincinnati.
— Cowboys had 440+ passing yards three weeks in row before last week- they’re averaging 76.2 snaps/game, most in NFL- will they keep up that pace?
— Last four games, Dallas has allowed 39-38-49-34 points.
— Last 4+ years, Cowboys are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— NFC East teams are 3-13 ATS outside their division, 0-8 at home.
— Home side won 13 of last 15 series games.
— Cardinals lost four of last five visits here; they won 28-17 last time they played here, in 2014.
Alan Harris
F Cowboys +1.5
D Chiefs -3.5
D Kansas City/Buffalo Under 57.5
D Teaser Cowboys+7.5/ Cowboys/Cardinals Over 49
Andy Iskoe (VegasInsider)
Dallas Cowboys -1
ATS
B Dallas/Arizona Over
Ben Burns
C Cowboys/Cardinals Under 54
B Bills+3.5 1st half
B Cowboys pk
Big Al McMordie
Dallas
Buffalo
Dallas/Arizona Under
Bill Marzano
Kansas City -5.5
Arizona/Dallas Over 55
Doc's Sports
E Dallas +1.5
Dr Chuck
E Kansas City Chiefs -3
Dwayne Bryant
E Dallas +1.5
Elite Sports Picks
Kansas City -4.5
Greg Shaker
Kansas City/Buffalo Under 58
Hank Goldberg
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +2.5
Hitman
C Dallas
Insider Sports Report
D Dallas +1
Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
Dallas Cowboys ml 115
Larry Hartstein
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +2.5
Lee Sterling
2+ Cowboys
Marc Lawrence
Dallas Cowboys
Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
Dallas Cowboys ml -115
Kansas City Chiefs/Buffalo Bills Under 55.5
Micah Roberts
Arizona -1.5
Midwest NFL Handicapping
Kansas City-3 (Buy Point)
Dallas +1
Kansas City/Buffalo Under 58
Mike Tierney
Arizona/Dallas Under 55.5
Mississippi Kid
B Chiefs -5
A+ Cowboys pk
MTI
D+ Dallas/Arizona Under
National Sports Service
D Arizona/Dallas Under 55
Norm Hitzges
Buffalo +4.5
NorthCoast
B Dallas
Kansas City (marq)
Oskeim Sports
E Cowboys
Primetime Sports Picks
D Dallas +1
C Buffalo +5
RJ White
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +1.5
Rockdeman Sports
Dallas Cowboys -1
Scott Spreitzer
F Kansas City
Stats Analytics Sports
B Bills/Chiefs Over 55
B Cowboys/Cardinals Under 55.5
The Prez
D Kansas City/Buffalo Over 56.5
The Winning Touch (The Swami)
H Buffalo Bills +5.5
Top Rank Sports Picks
D Kansas City/Buffalo Over 56.5
Vegas Sports Informer
G Dallas/Arizona Over 54.5
Vernon Croy
G Dallas +1.5
Zack Cimini
Arizona -2.5
F Cowboys +1.5
D Chiefs -3.5
D Kansas City/Buffalo Under 57.5
D Teaser Cowboys+7.5/ Cowboys/Cardinals Over 49
Andy Iskoe (VegasInsider)
Dallas Cowboys -1
ATS
B Dallas/Arizona Over
Ben Burns
C Cowboys/Cardinals Under 54
B Bills+3.5 1st half
B Cowboys pk
Big Al McMordie
Dallas
Buffalo
Dallas/Arizona Under
Bill Marzano
Kansas City -5.5
Arizona/Dallas Over 55
Doc's Sports
E Dallas +1.5
Dr Chuck
E Kansas City Chiefs -3
Dwayne Bryant
E Dallas +1.5
Elite Sports Picks
Kansas City -4.5
Greg Shaker
Kansas City/Buffalo Under 58
Hank Goldberg
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +2.5
Hitman
C Dallas
Insider Sports Report
D Dallas +1
Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
Dallas Cowboys ml 115
Larry Hartstein
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +2.5
Lee Sterling
2+ Cowboys
Marc Lawrence
Dallas Cowboys
Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
Dallas Cowboys ml -115
Kansas City Chiefs/Buffalo Bills Under 55.5
Micah Roberts
Arizona -1.5
Midwest NFL Handicapping
Kansas City-3 (Buy Point)
Dallas +1
Kansas City/Buffalo Under 58
Mike Tierney
Arizona/Dallas Under 55.5
Mississippi Kid
B Chiefs -5
A+ Cowboys pk
MTI
D+ Dallas/Arizona Under
National Sports Service
D Arizona/Dallas Under 55
Norm Hitzges
Buffalo +4.5
NorthCoast
B Dallas
Kansas City (marq)
Oskeim Sports
E Cowboys
Primetime Sports Picks
D Dallas +1
C Buffalo +5
RJ White
Kansas City -3.5
Dallas +1.5
Rockdeman Sports
Dallas Cowboys -1
Scott Spreitzer
F Kansas City
Stats Analytics Sports
B Bills/Chiefs Over 55
B Cowboys/Cardinals Under 55.5
The Prez
D Kansas City/Buffalo Over 56.5
The Winning Touch (The Swami)
H Buffalo Bills +5.5
Top Rank Sports Picks
D Kansas City/Buffalo Over 56.5
Vegas Sports Informer
G Dallas/Arizona Over 54.5
Vernon Croy
G Dallas +1.5
Zack Cimini
Arizona -2.5