NFL POWER SYSTEM
Play AGAINST a home underdog off an underdog SU win in its last game. (13-0 SU, 15.1 ppg/13-0 ATS, +10.1 ppg)
The credit for this POWER SYSTEM goes to an internet forum poster who accidentally brought this recent strong trend to our attention. The poster actually used “Play ON any NFL home dog off a dog win” as his prime example of what he considered a “superior” system. We knew instinctively that this situation has in reality been a LOSING proposition for a number of years. It used to be a profitable situation; however, the oddsmakers long ago adjusted to this scenario and NFL favorites have covered at an increasing rate in recent seasons.
Our computer database research verified our instincts. If you had blindly followed the advice of this poster, you would have LOST money in each of the last 4 years. In fact, you would have lost your last FIFTEEN WAGERS IN A ROW. We have eliminated 2 of those losses from our POWER SYSTEM, since one of them occurred in Week 1 and one occurred on the same day as a winner that preceded the next 13 qualifying games. Even then, that leaves 13 straight losers. Last year alone, this “system” was 0-8 SU & ATS, and the games weren’t close. Every team in this role failed to cover the spread by more than a FG.
This provides a classic example of why doing CURRENT database research is imperative and why some systems will simply not work as they once did. After ramming one’s head into the wall for 4 straight years and 13-15 LOSSES IN A ROW, it’s probably past time to re-examine such a strategy.
Play AGAINST a home underdog off an underdog SU win in its last game. (13-0 SU, 15.1 ppg/13-0 ATS, +10.1 ppg)
The credit for this POWER SYSTEM goes to an internet forum poster who accidentally brought this recent strong trend to our attention. The poster actually used “Play ON any NFL home dog off a dog win” as his prime example of what he considered a “superior” system. We knew instinctively that this situation has in reality been a LOSING proposition for a number of years. It used to be a profitable situation; however, the oddsmakers long ago adjusted to this scenario and NFL favorites have covered at an increasing rate in recent seasons.
Our computer database research verified our instincts. If you had blindly followed the advice of this poster, you would have LOST money in each of the last 4 years. In fact, you would have lost your last FIFTEEN WAGERS IN A ROW. We have eliminated 2 of those losses from our POWER SYSTEM, since one of them occurred in Week 1 and one occurred on the same day as a winner that preceded the next 13 qualifying games. Even then, that leaves 13 straight losers. Last year alone, this “system” was 0-8 SU & ATS, and the games weren’t close. Every team in this role failed to cover the spread by more than a FG.
This provides a classic example of why doing CURRENT database research is imperative and why some systems will simply not work as they once did. After ramming one’s head into the wall for 4 straight years and 13-15 LOSSES IN A ROW, it’s probably past time to re-examine such a strategy.