NFL Trends for this weekend

#1
Bengals (2-5-1) @ Pittsburgh (8-0)
— Bengals lost three of last four games, but covered last three.
— Cincinnati is 6-1-1 ATS overall this season.
— Bengals are 0-3-1 SU on the road, losing by 5-24-4 points.
— Cincy is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Bengals are 1-5 ATS in last six post-bye games.

— Roethlisberger (COVID list) won’t practice this week, may not play.
— Rudolph (5-3 as a starter) would likely get the nod if Big Ben sits out.
— Steelers won first eight games (6-2 ATS), scoring 29.4 ppg.
— Steelers are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year, winning by 5-7-9-31 points.
— Pittsburgh won its last three games, by 3-4-5 points.

— Pittsburgh won last ten series games, four of last five by 7 or fewer points.
— Bengals lost last four visits to Steel City, by 8-15-3-24 points.

Washington (2-6) @ Detroit (3-5)
— Washington is starting its third QB (Alex Smith) in nine games this year.
— Smith is 94-66-1 as an NFL starter; he threw for 325 yards in LW’s 23-20 loss.
— Washington lost six of its last seven games, losing twice to the Giants by total of 4 points.
— Washington is 0-3 SU on road, losing by 1-14-15 points.
— Last 4+ years, Washington is 16-12-1 ATS as a road underdog, 1-2 TY.
— Under is 3-0-1 in last four Washington games.

— Detroit lost its last two games, giving up 41-34 points.
— Lions allowed 27+ points in their five losses; 23-16-22 in their wins.
— Detroit is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in its losses.
— Lions are 2-4 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
— Detroit was outrushed 394-158 in its last two games.
— All three Lion home games went over the total.

— Lions lost 16-14 at Washington LY, their first loss in last five series games.

Texans (2-6) @ Cleveland (5-3)
— Texans split their last two games; both wins were vs Jacksonville.
— Houston allowed 28+ points in all their losses- they allowed 14-25 points in wins.
— Texans are 1-3 SU on the road, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— Over is 3-0-1 in Houston’s road games this season.
— Texans are 0-3 ATS as a road underdog this year.

— Browns scored 6-7-6 points in their losses, averaged 37.2 ppg in wins
— Browns were outscored in second half in six of their eight games.
— Cleveland is 5-4-1 ATS in its last ten games as a home favorite.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last seven post-bye games.

— Houston won last five series games, all by 10+ points.
— Texans won 16-6/23-7 in their last two visits to Cleveland.

Jaguars (1-7) @ Green Bay (5-2)
— 6th-round rookie QB Jake Luton (Oregon State) gets his 2nd start; he threw for 304 yards in last week’s 27-25 loss.
— Jaguars lost last seven games, are 1-5 ATS in last six.
— Jacksonville gave up 32.3 ppg in their last six games.
— Jaguars are 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— AFC South underdogs are 2-7 ATS outside the division.

— Green Bay split its last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— Packers scored 30+ points in their wins; 10-22 points in losses.
— Green Bay converted 48-97 third down plays (49.5%)
— Packers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Four of last five Green Bay games stayed under the total.

— Green Bay won four of six series games.
— Jaguars split two visits here, with last one in 2012.

Philadelphia (3-4-1) @ NJ Giants (2-7)
— This is Philly’s first road game since October 11.
— Eagles are 3-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-4-1 if they allow more than 21.
— Underdogs covered six of their eight games this season.
— Eagles are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
— Last four games, Philly allowed 152.8 rushing yards/game.
— Eagles are 2-6 ATS in last eight post-bye games.
— Four of last six Philly games stayed under the total.

— Giants are 2-0 SU vs Washington, 0-7 vs everyone else.
— Giants covered five of their last six games.
— Giants’ last five games were decided by total of 10 points.
— Big Blue lost three of four home games, losing by 10-27-2 points.
— Giants are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
— NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 12-2 ATS.

— Giants (+5) lost 22-21 in Philly three weeks ago, despite running ball for 160 yards.
— Eagles won last seven series games.
— Eagles won last three visits here, by 5-21-17 points.
— Philly scored 34+ points in six of last seven visits here.
 
#2
Tampa Bay (6-3) @ Carolina (3-6)
— Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games, but lost 38-3 LW
— Bucs are 3-2 SU on road, winning by 18-25-2 points.
— Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite, 2-2 TY.
— Last two games, Bucs were outscored 45-6 in first half.
— Last week, Tampa ran ball five times the whole game, for 8 yards.

— Carolina lost its last four games, giving up 27 ppg.
— Panthers lost three of their four home games SU this year.
— Carolina covered five of its last seven games overall.
— Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog.
— Carolina is 0-6 when they allow 23+ points, 3-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.

— Panthers (+8.5) lost 31-17 at Tampa in Week 2; they turned ball over four times.
— Carolina won 10 of last 15 series games; teams split last four meetings here.

Broncos (3-5) @ Las Vegas (5-3)
— Denver won three of last five games, after an 0-3 start.
— Broncos gave up 26+ points in six of their last seven games.
— Denver covered three of its four road games this year.
— Broncos are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Raiders scored 31+ points in four of five wins; 20-23-20 in their losses.
— Las Vegas allowed 400+ TY in five of its last seven games.
— Raiders converted 13 of last 24 third down plays.
— Seven of eight Raider games went over the total.
— Raiders are 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Las Vegas is 2-0 ATS as a favorite TY; both those games were on road.

— Home side won last eight series games.
— Broncos lost their last four visits to Oakland, by 10-6-13-8 points.

Buffalo (7-2) @ Arizona (5-3)
— Buffalo won its last three games, scoring 28.7 ppg.
— Bills won three of four road games, scoring 23.8 ppg (29.4 ppg at home)
— Bills scored 24+ points in six of their seven wins; 16-17 in their losses.
— Buffalo is 4-2-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog, 0-0 TY.
— Seven of their nine games went over the total.

— Arizona scored 30+ points in last four games, winning three of them.
— Cardinals split four home games TY; their last three home games were all decided by 3 points.
— Redbirds are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY.
— Cardinals are running ball for 162.9 yards/game this season.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in five of its eight games.

— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Bills won two of three visits here, winning 19-16 in OT in last visit, in ’12.

Seahawks (6-2) @ Rams (5-3)
— Seattle lost two of last three games, after a 5-0 start.
— Seahawks have scored 36 TD’s on 85 drives this season.
— Seattle is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Seahawks scored 31+ points in seven of eight games; they scored 34 in both their losses.
— Seven of their eight games went over the total.
— Seahawks allowed 415 TY in seven of their eight games.

— Rams lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— LA has outscored opponents 100-32 in second half of games.
— Rams won all three home games, giving up 17-9-10 points.
— LA’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Under McVay, Rams are 12-10-1 ATS as a home favorite, 1-1 TY.
— LA is 9-2-1 ATS in its last dozen post-bye games.

— Rams won four of last five series games.
— Seattle lost 36-31/28-12 in their last two games in the Coliseum.

49ers (4-5) @ New Orleans (6-2)
— Mullens gets another start at QB, replacing injured Garoppolo (ankle).
— 49ers allowed 16 or fewer points in their wins, 24-25-43-37-34 in their losses.
— 49ers won three of their four road games SU.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— 49ers are 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.

— New Orleans won its last five games, by 6-3-3-3-35 points.
— Saints allowed 23-29-27-24-23-3 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
— New Orleans won three of four home games, winning by 11-3-3 points.
— Saints are 7-14 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Seven of their eight games went over the total.

— 49ers won four of last six series games; average total in last three was 69.7.
— 49ers won three of last four visits to Bourbon Street; they won 48-46 here LY.

LA Chargers (2-6) @ Miami (5-3)
— Since Week 2 of last year, Chargers are 2-15 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Bolts lost six of last seven games, with five losses by 5 or fewer points.
— Last five Charger games went over the total.
— Chargers are 9-7-2 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 1-0-1 TY.
— In last four games, LA scored 15 TD’s on 47 drives; the rookie QB is good.
— Last two games, LA was outscored 45-25 in the second half.

— Dolphins won/covered their last four games, scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Dolphins scored 20+ points in first half of all four of those games.
— Miami was outgained 913-457 in its last two games.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in four of five wins; 21-31-31 in losses.
— Miami split its four home games, winning last two, by 24-11 points.
— Dolphins are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.

— Dolphins won four of last six series games.
— Chargers won 30-10 in Miami LY, ending an 8-game skid in south Florida- their last win before than was in the 1981 playoffs.

Ravens (6-2) @ New England (3-5)
— Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in five of six wins, 34-28 in losses.
— Baltimore is 4-0 SU on the road, winning by 17-14-2-14 points.
— Under is 5-3 in Baltimore games this season.
— Baltimore opponents converted only 11 of last 49 third down plays.
— Ravens are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— New England lost three of its last four games; they were outscored 62-22 in first half.
— Patriots allowed 28 ppg in their last three games.
— New England trailed at halftime in its last five games.
— Last 12+ years, Patriots are 4-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Three of their last four home games stayed under the total.

— Patriots are 6-4 in last ten series games.
— Average total in last four series games: 54.3.
— Ravens lost four of last five visits here, but haven’t been in Foxboro since 2016.

Vikings (3-5) @ Chicago (5-4)
— Vikings are 2-0 since their bye, running ball for 173-275 yards.
— Minnesota covered five of its last six games.
— Vikings allowed 27+ points in all five of their losses; they allowed 23-22-20 in wins.
— Minnesota has 12 turnovers (-8) in its losses, zero in its wins (+5).
— Vikings are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite (0-0 TY).
— Minnesota split its four road games SU this season.

— Bears lost their last three games, after a 5-1 start.
— Chicago has three wins by 4 points each, another win by one point.
— Bears are 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home underdog, 2-1 TY.
— Chicago split its four home games SU this season.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

— Bears won last four series games.
— Vikings lost 25-20/16-6 in their last two visits to Chicago.
— Minnesota scored 11.7 ppg in last three series games.
 

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