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Emory Hunt
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:41 PM
This will be a huge test for Georgia QB Stetson Bennett IV, as Alabama does a great job of forcing you to be consistently accurate, because they are able to condense things across the field. Even though coach Nick Saban will not be on the sidelines for this game, his team will be in good hands with Steve Sarkisian, the offensive coordinator who is stepping into his place. Look for Georgia's cornerbacks to get tested throughout the game by Alabama's speedy receivers.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +500
12-7 IN LAST 19 UGA ATS PICKS | +440
GA. SOUTHERN -31
MASSACHUSETTS @ GA. SOUTHERN | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:40 PM
This will be UMass' first game of the season and what an unlucky draw they have with Georgia Southern, who is one of the better teams in the Sun Belt Conference. The Eagles also run an explosive triple-option attack, that can also be considered a quadruple-option because of QB Shai Werts ability to throw the football as well. With the Sun Belt race wide open, I don't expect to see the Eagles take their foot off the gas against the Minutemen.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-1 IN LAST 6 GAS ATS PICKS | +390
3-1 IN LAST 4 UMASS ATS PICKS | +189
LOUISVILLE +16.5
LOUISVILLE @ NOTRE DAME | 10/17 | 2:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Notre Dame has a really good offensive line, maybe the best OL in the nation, and a strong run game with a stable of talented backs. They should have success against Louisville's defense that has been a bit vulnerable in that regard. Where Louisville has a puncher's chance is with their offense. With QB Malik Cunningham, WR Tutu Atwell and RB Javien Hawkins, that's more than enough explosive athletes than Notre Dame will be able to contain defensively.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-1 IN LAST 5 ND ATS PICKS | +285
4-2 IN LAST 6 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +179
UAB -13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Western Kentucky had all kinds of problems last weekend vs Marshall and their ground game. Similar challenge this week as UAB's RB Spencer Brown is one of the more physical backs in college football, and is the Blazers all-time leading rusher. On the other side of the ball, quietly UAB has played very good defense, even frustrating teams like Miami at times. Right now, UAB is just a much better team overall.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-3 IN LAST 7 WKY ATS PICKS | +69
WEST VIRGINIA -22
KANSAS @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:38 PM
What we've seen so far this year in the Big 12 is that there are 3 teams who are playing really good defense: Baylor, Oklahoma State and West Virginia. This week the Mountaineers face a Kansas Jayhawks squad that won't have their head coach Les Miles on the sideline due to Covid, and have struggled all season long with consistency on both sides of the ball. The question then becomes, how quickly does WVU cover.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
ARMY -8
ARMY @ UT-SAN ANTONIO | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:37 PM
I love the defensive rebound we've seen from Army since their loss to Cincinnati 2 games ago. Offensively, while they struggled a bit against the Citadel, they were able to make enough plays to get the job done. The Citadel runs the same triple option as Army, so it was an understandably close game. Where UTSA has an issue is in the run defense department, which is not what you want to hear when facing Army.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARMY ATS PICKS | +190
NAVY -2.5
NAVY @ EAST CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:36 PM
Tough matchup for the ECU PIrates this week, as they face Navy's triple-option offense. I was impressed with the way Navy bounced back last week in a win vs Temple, after getting thumped by Air Force the week before. ECU enters this game with some injury concerns, especially at QB, which will limit their ability to consistently sustain drives against the Midshipmen. Plus, their defense won't be able to contain the option.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
10-7-1 IN LAST 18 NAVY ATS PICKS | +230
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:41 PM
This will be a huge test for Georgia QB Stetson Bennett IV, as Alabama does a great job of forcing you to be consistently accurate, because they are able to condense things across the field. Even though coach Nick Saban will not be on the sidelines for this game, his team will be in good hands with Steve Sarkisian, the offensive coordinator who is stepping into his place. Look for Georgia's cornerbacks to get tested throughout the game by Alabama's speedy receivers.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +500
12-7 IN LAST 19 UGA ATS PICKS | +440
GA. SOUTHERN -31
MASSACHUSETTS @ GA. SOUTHERN | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:40 PM
This will be UMass' first game of the season and what an unlucky draw they have with Georgia Southern, who is one of the better teams in the Sun Belt Conference. The Eagles also run an explosive triple-option attack, that can also be considered a quadruple-option because of QB Shai Werts ability to throw the football as well. With the Sun Belt race wide open, I don't expect to see the Eagles take their foot off the gas against the Minutemen.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-1 IN LAST 6 GAS ATS PICKS | +390
3-1 IN LAST 4 UMASS ATS PICKS | +189
LOUISVILLE +16.5
LOUISVILLE @ NOTRE DAME | 10/17 | 2:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Notre Dame has a really good offensive line, maybe the best OL in the nation, and a strong run game with a stable of talented backs. They should have success against Louisville's defense that has been a bit vulnerable in that regard. Where Louisville has a puncher's chance is with their offense. With QB Malik Cunningham, WR Tutu Atwell and RB Javien Hawkins, that's more than enough explosive athletes than Notre Dame will be able to contain defensively.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-1 IN LAST 5 ND ATS PICKS | +285
4-2 IN LAST 6 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +179
UAB -13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Western Kentucky had all kinds of problems last weekend vs Marshall and their ground game. Similar challenge this week as UAB's RB Spencer Brown is one of the more physical backs in college football, and is the Blazers all-time leading rusher. On the other side of the ball, quietly UAB has played very good defense, even frustrating teams like Miami at times. Right now, UAB is just a much better team overall.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-3 IN LAST 7 WKY ATS PICKS | +69
WEST VIRGINIA -22
KANSAS @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:38 PM
What we've seen so far this year in the Big 12 is that there are 3 teams who are playing really good defense: Baylor, Oklahoma State and West Virginia. This week the Mountaineers face a Kansas Jayhawks squad that won't have their head coach Les Miles on the sideline due to Covid, and have struggled all season long with consistency on both sides of the ball. The question then becomes, how quickly does WVU cover.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
ARMY -8
ARMY @ UT-SAN ANTONIO | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:37 PM
I love the defensive rebound we've seen from Army since their loss to Cincinnati 2 games ago. Offensively, while they struggled a bit against the Citadel, they were able to make enough plays to get the job done. The Citadel runs the same triple option as Army, so it was an understandably close game. Where UTSA has an issue is in the run defense department, which is not what you want to hear when facing Army.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARMY ATS PICKS | +190
NAVY -2.5
NAVY @ EAST CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:36 PM
Tough matchup for the ECU PIrates this week, as they face Navy's triple-option offense. I was impressed with the way Navy bounced back last week in a win vs Temple, after getting thumped by Air Force the week before. ECU enters this game with some injury concerns, especially at QB, which will limit their ability to consistently sustain drives against the Midshipmen. Plus, their defense won't be able to contain the option.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
10-7-1 IN LAST 18 NAVY ATS PICKS | +230
Joe Gavazzi
#116 6% TEMPLE (-11) Noon ET ESP3
#117 4% Navy (-2-) Noon ET ESP3
#149 4% UCF (-3) 3:30 PM ET ABC
#153 3% Louisville (+17) 2:30 PM ET NBC
#158 3% Mid Tenn State (-6) 5:00 PM ET
#162 3% LA TECH (+13-) 6:00 PM ET CBSN
#120 4% OVER 59- NC State 3:30 PM ET
#126 4% OVER 64 Florida State 7:00 PM ET ABC
#140 3% UNDER 75 Arkansas 3:30 PM ET
#144 3% OVER 54 Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET
#116 6% TEMPLE (-11) Noon ET ESP3
#117 4% Navy (-2-) Noon ET ESP3
#149 4% UCF (-3) 3:30 PM ET ABC
#153 3% Louisville (+17) 2:30 PM ET NBC
#158 3% Mid Tenn State (-6) 5:00 PM ET
#162 3% LA TECH (+13-) 6:00 PM ET CBSN
#120 4% OVER 59- NC State 3:30 PM ET
#126 4% OVER 64 Florida State 7:00 PM ET ABC
#140 3% UNDER 75 Arkansas 3:30 PM ET
#144 3% OVER 54 Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET
Kenny White
OVER 59
DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
7:48 AM
Duke has gone Over its last three games, increasing its scoring in those three games, but the defense has allowed 100 points. NC State is 4-0 Over because its uptempo offense has scored 45, 24, 30 and 38, with the last three being on the road against Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Virginia.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
OVER 57
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:45 AM
Virginia is playing fast on offense and is currently 3-0 to the Over. The Cavaliers' offense median numbers are 120 rushing yards and 270 passing yards. UVA QB Brennan Armstrong is very questionable, but backup Lindell Stone threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns last week. NC State is averaging 34.3 ppg. Go Over.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
7:43 AM
Western Kentucky is 0-4 ATS, but UAB is just 1-3 ATS. UAB is without starting QB Tyler Johnston, which accounts for a s solid 2-point drop. UAB is 3-1 SU with its best win against a very weak South Alabama team, 42-10. Western Kentucky will start Kevaris Thomas, a 6-4, 250-pound quarterback. Thomas is a dual threat and he played very well versus Marshall. The total is only 44.5, so we are all expecting a low scoring game.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
LOUISIANA TECH +13.5
MARSHALL @ LOUISIANA TECH | 10/17 | 6:00 PM EDT
7:40 AM
Marshall has been amazing in 2020 with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, highlighted by a win over Appalachian State. Marshall lost its starting QB before the season to the transfer portal and decided on rFr. QB Grant Wells. Wells has been slightly below average. The Thundering Herd won the turnover battle by three last week at Western Kentucky. I think Marshall is very overrated, and could struggle as it hits the road for the second straight week against a very well-coached Louisiana Tech team.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
TEXAS A&M -5
TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:37 AM
The Aggies are coming off a huge 41-38 win over Florida. With a loss already to Alabama, I am not expecting a letdown, especially when they are going out on the road. Texas A&M has better athletes than Mississippi State. The Aggies were 4-4 in the SEC last year and they return 10 players on offense and 13 players on defense with 7+ starts. Mississippi State's offense has just 14 points in its last two games against Arkansas and Kentucky. A&M's defense is better than both Arkansas and Kentucky.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
OVER 59
DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
7:48 AM
Duke has gone Over its last three games, increasing its scoring in those three games, but the defense has allowed 100 points. NC State is 4-0 Over because its uptempo offense has scored 45, 24, 30 and 38, with the last three being on the road against Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Virginia.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
OVER 57
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:45 AM
Virginia is playing fast on offense and is currently 3-0 to the Over. The Cavaliers' offense median numbers are 120 rushing yards and 270 passing yards. UVA QB Brennan Armstrong is very questionable, but backup Lindell Stone threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns last week. NC State is averaging 34.3 ppg. Go Over.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
7:43 AM
Western Kentucky is 0-4 ATS, but UAB is just 1-3 ATS. UAB is without starting QB Tyler Johnston, which accounts for a s solid 2-point drop. UAB is 3-1 SU with its best win against a very weak South Alabama team, 42-10. Western Kentucky will start Kevaris Thomas, a 6-4, 250-pound quarterback. Thomas is a dual threat and he played very well versus Marshall. The total is only 44.5, so we are all expecting a low scoring game.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
LOUISIANA TECH +13.5
MARSHALL @ LOUISIANA TECH | 10/17 | 6:00 PM EDT
7:40 AM
Marshall has been amazing in 2020 with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, highlighted by a win over Appalachian State. Marshall lost its starting QB before the season to the transfer portal and decided on rFr. QB Grant Wells. Wells has been slightly below average. The Thundering Herd won the turnover battle by three last week at Western Kentucky. I think Marshall is very overrated, and could struggle as it hits the road for the second straight week against a very well-coached Louisiana Tech team.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
TEXAS A&M -5
TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:37 AM
The Aggies are coming off a huge 41-38 win over Florida. With a loss already to Alabama, I am not expecting a letdown, especially when they are going out on the road. Texas A&M has better athletes than Mississippi State. The Aggies were 4-4 in the SEC last year and they return 10 players on offense and 13 players on defense with 7+ starts. Mississippi State's offense has just 14 points in its last two games against Arkansas and Kentucky. A&M's defense is better than both Arkansas and Kentucky.
11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330
Tom Fornelli
TULANE +6.5
SMU @ TULANE | 10/16 | 6:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:17 PM
We learned earlier this week that SMU lost both its leading receiver Reggie Roberson as well as its leading ballcarrier T.J. McDaniels for the rest of the season. That's a lot of production to replace on offense, and while the Mustangs are still going to be able to move the ball on this Tulane defense, the explosive nature of the offense could be lacking without Roberson. That makes the Wave a lot more appealing here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
BOSTON COLLEGE +13
BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:13 PM
I get the sense that the books haven't caught up to Boston College yet. This team is a lot better than I expected it to be before the season, but it's still being disrespected on the spread. This week against a Virginia Tech defense that was torn to bits by the Tar Heels last week I expect the Eagles offense to do enough to stay within the number.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:11 PM
If I've learned anything about Miami the last few years it's that the program does not bounce back from crushing losses, it only digs itself in deeper in the hole. So I'm not ready to rely on a recovery this weekend with an early kickoff at home against a Pitt team that is always a pain in the butt to deal with. I think Miami wins, but I'm not convinced it does, so I'll take the Panthers and the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +489
UNDER 58
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:09 PM
There is nothing more dangerous in college football this season than taking an Under, but we're on it here anyway. Simply put, there is no reason for a total to be this high in a game with Virginia favored. The Cavaliers offense just hasn't shown any signs of life in 2020. If this total goes over, it might require Wake Forest to get 40 of the points on its own.
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAKE O/U PICKS | +90
NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
NORTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA ST. | 10/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:07 PM
The Florida State offense started to show signs of life against Notre Dame last weekend, but it was a Notre Dame team that hadn't played for a few weeks and had its life disrupted by COVID protocols. I'm not going to take that performance as a sign the Noles offense is capable of keeping up with North Carolina here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +89
KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
The best thing any bettor can do is learn from their mistakes, and I learned from one last week. What I learned is that I'm never going to trust Tennessee QB Jarrett Guarantano against a good defense again. That kid is just too fast and loose with the football. So, at home against a good Kentucky defense, laying nearly a touchdown, I'm going with the Wildcats.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
3-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +190
3-2 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +79
TEXAS ST. +3
TEXAS ST. @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:04 PM
I'll forgive you if you haven't been paying attention, but Texas State has been a much better football team than its 1-4 record suggests. In fact, it's a better football team than the South Alabama squad that it's playing here, so if I can get the Bobcats with points, I'll take them.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:02 PM
This play is all about my world-famous inevitability principle that I just made up right now. You see, Western Kentucky hasn't covered a spread yet this year, and it's bound to eventually. OK, so that's not really why I'm making this pick. The truth of the matter is that, as good as UAB has been in C-USA the last few years, it doesn't deserve to be this heavy a favorite in this matchup, so I'm taking the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 UAB ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 WKY ATS PICKS | +89
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:00 PM
So how many points is Nick Saban worth? I was already on Alabama before the Saban news broke and it was a 6-point favorite, now that the line has shrunk, I'm not backing off. Georgia's defense is phenomenal, but if there's been a lesson in college football the last few years it's that offense wins out over defense. I don't think Georgia and Stetson Bennett can do enough offensively to keep up with Alabama even if the Tide offense is slowed down a little.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
4-1 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +290
2-1 IN LAST 3 UGA ATS PICKS | +90
TULANE +6.5
SMU @ TULANE | 10/16 | 6:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:17 PM
We learned earlier this week that SMU lost both its leading receiver Reggie Roberson as well as its leading ballcarrier T.J. McDaniels for the rest of the season. That's a lot of production to replace on offense, and while the Mustangs are still going to be able to move the ball on this Tulane defense, the explosive nature of the offense could be lacking without Roberson. That makes the Wave a lot more appealing here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
BOSTON COLLEGE +13
BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:13 PM
I get the sense that the books haven't caught up to Boston College yet. This team is a lot better than I expected it to be before the season, but it's still being disrespected on the spread. This week against a Virginia Tech defense that was torn to bits by the Tar Heels last week I expect the Eagles offense to do enough to stay within the number.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:11 PM
If I've learned anything about Miami the last few years it's that the program does not bounce back from crushing losses, it only digs itself in deeper in the hole. So I'm not ready to rely on a recovery this weekend with an early kickoff at home against a Pitt team that is always a pain in the butt to deal with. I think Miami wins, but I'm not convinced it does, so I'll take the Panthers and the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +489
UNDER 58
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:09 PM
There is nothing more dangerous in college football this season than taking an Under, but we're on it here anyway. Simply put, there is no reason for a total to be this high in a game with Virginia favored. The Cavaliers offense just hasn't shown any signs of life in 2020. If this total goes over, it might require Wake Forest to get 40 of the points on its own.
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAKE O/U PICKS | +90
NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
NORTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA ST. | 10/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:07 PM
The Florida State offense started to show signs of life against Notre Dame last weekend, but it was a Notre Dame team that hadn't played for a few weeks and had its life disrupted by COVID protocols. I'm not going to take that performance as a sign the Noles offense is capable of keeping up with North Carolina here.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +89
KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
The best thing any bettor can do is learn from their mistakes, and I learned from one last week. What I learned is that I'm never going to trust Tennessee QB Jarrett Guarantano against a good defense again. That kid is just too fast and loose with the football. So, at home against a good Kentucky defense, laying nearly a touchdown, I'm going with the Wildcats.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
3-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +190
3-2 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +79
TEXAS ST. +3
TEXAS ST. @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:04 PM
I'll forgive you if you haven't been paying attention, but Texas State has been a much better football team than its 1-4 record suggests. In fact, it's a better football team than the South Alabama squad that it's playing here, so if I can get the Bobcats with points, I'll take them.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:02 PM
This play is all about my world-famous inevitability principle that I just made up right now. You see, Western Kentucky hasn't covered a spread yet this year, and it's bound to eventually. OK, so that's not really why I'm making this pick. The truth of the matter is that, as good as UAB has been in C-USA the last few years, it doesn't deserve to be this heavy a favorite in this matchup, so I'm taking the points.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 UAB ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 WKY ATS PICKS | +89
ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:00 PM
So how many points is Nick Saban worth? I was already on Alabama before the Saban news broke and it was a 6-point favorite, now that the line has shrunk, I'm not backing off. Georgia's defense is phenomenal, but if there's been a lesson in college football the last few years it's that offense wins out over defense. I don't think Georgia and Stetson Bennett can do enough offensively to keep up with Alabama even if the Tide offense is slowed down a little.
15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
4-1 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +290
2-1 IN LAST 3 UGA ATS PICKS | +90
MTI
4.5-Star Rays -120 over Astros - The Rays are 12-0 at home after a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 11-0 since July of 2019 as a favorite with Charlie Morton when they used five-plus pitchers yesterday. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Rays and starter=Charlie Morton and F and rest=0 and 5<=p
U and date>=20190700
Lastly for the Rays, we see that they are 9-0 SU their last nine when they are off a home loss in which they held the lead.
As for the Astros, we find that they are 0-8 as a road dog in the last game of a series with no rest when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two, as long as they did not hit four-plus home runs in their last game. The SDQL text is:
team=Astros and LGS and AD and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and rest=0 and p:HR < 4 and season >= 2016
The Astros should be proud that they pushed this series to game seven, but we expect the Rays to avoid the embarrassment of losing a series in which they were up 3-0.
4.5-Star Dodgers -160 over Braves - Atlanta is 0-15 as a road dog off a game as a home dog in which they were homerless and had fewer than 12 hits. The SDQL is:
team=Braves and A and D and p:H and p
and p:HR=0 and p:hits<12
Also, Atlanta is 0-7 SU as a road dog off a loss as a home dog in which they held the lead and 0-6 in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.
The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 6-0 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which Mookie Betts had multiple hits and 8-0 at home off a road game in which they struck out at least ten times, winning every game by multiple runs. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>=10 and date>=20190426
Finally, the Braves are 0-9 as a plus-money dog when they are off a game as a dog in which Freeman had multiple hits and they left fewer than 20 men on base. The SDQL text is:
team=Braves and line > 0 and p
and Freddie Freeman
:hits>1 and p:LOB<20 and date>=20180600
Note that every one of the nine losses was by multiple runs. Further, four of the eight games were vs the Dodgers and they lost each of those by at least three runs.
We make the Dodgers the play.
4.5-Star Rays -120 over Astros - The Rays are 12-0 at home after a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 11-0 since July of 2019 as a favorite with Charlie Morton when they used five-plus pitchers yesterday. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Rays and starter=Charlie Morton and F and rest=0 and 5<=p
U and date>=20190700Lastly for the Rays, we see that they are 9-0 SU their last nine when they are off a home loss in which they held the lead.
As for the Astros, we find that they are 0-8 as a road dog in the last game of a series with no rest when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two, as long as they did not hit four-plus home runs in their last game. The SDQL text is:
team=Astros and LGS and AD and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and rest=0 and p:HR < 4 and season >= 2016
The Astros should be proud that they pushed this series to game seven, but we expect the Rays to avoid the embarrassment of losing a series in which they were up 3-0.
4.5-Star Dodgers -160 over Braves - Atlanta is 0-15 as a road dog off a game as a home dog in which they were homerless and had fewer than 12 hits. The SDQL is:
team=Braves and A and D and p:H and p
Also, Atlanta is 0-7 SU as a road dog off a loss as a home dog in which they held the lead and 0-6 in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.
The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 6-0 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which Mookie Betts had multiple hits and 8-0 at home off a road game in which they struck out at least ten times, winning every game by multiple runs. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>=10 and date>=20190426
Finally, the Braves are 0-9 as a plus-money dog when they are off a game as a dog in which Freeman had multiple hits and they left fewer than 20 men on base. The SDQL text is:
team=Braves and line > 0 and p
Note that every one of the nine losses was by multiple runs. Further, four of the eight games were vs the Dodgers and they lost each of those by at least three runs.
We make the Dodgers the play.