Sunday NFL Trends

[70Olds]

Texans (4-9) @ Indianapolis (9-4)
— Texans are 2-5 SU on road this year, beating Lions/Jaguars.
— Houston are 0-8 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
— Texans had 20+ points at the half in four of last six games.
— Houston didn’t score a second half point in their last two games.
— Over is 4-2-1 in Houston’s road games this year.
— Texans are 0-3-1 ATS this season as road underdogs.

— Colts won six of their last eight games.
— Indy lost two of its last three home games.
— Colts are 7-0 when they score 28+ points. 2-4 when they do not.
— Indy is 10-9-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 1-3 TY.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.
— Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 79-23 in 2nd half.

— Colts (-3) beat Houston 26-20 two weeks ago; it was 24-20 at halftime
— Indy was +2 in turnovers, won field position by 10 years.
— Colts won six of last eight series games.
— Texas won three of last four visits to Indy.

Lions (5-8) @ Tennessee (9-4)
— Lions’ QB Stafford is banged up (ribs; check status)
— Chase Daniel (2-3 as starter in 11 years) is the backup QB.
— Lions are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games.
— Detroit allowed 27+ points in six of its last seven games.
— Lions are 15-15 ATS in last 30 games as road underdogs, 3-2 TY.
— Detroit scored 27.7 ppg the last three weeks.
— Five of last seven Lion games went over the total.

— Tennessee won three of last four games, is tied for first in AFC South.
— Titans lost last two home games, giving up 34-41 points.
— Titans were +10 in turnovers the first five games, are minus-2 since.
— Last two weeks, Tennessee outscored opponents 42-10 in second half.
— Over is 8-3-1 in Titans’ last 12 games.
— Titans are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY.

— Tennessee won last five series games, last two 44-41 OT/16-15.
— Lions lost 24-19/44-41OT in visits to Nashville.

NJ Jets (0-13) @ Rams (9-4)
— Winless Jets are 4-9 ATS, covering four of last seven games.
— Jets allowed 30+ points in five of last six games.
— Jets have been outscored 97-44 in 2nd half of their last eight games.
— Jets are winless, but their turnover ratio is only minus-1.
— Jets are 9-21-2 ATS in last 32 games as road dogs, 1-5 TY.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

— Rams won four of their last five games.
— LA clinches a playoff spot with win or a tie here.
— LA has outscored opponents 164-82 in second half of games.
— Rams won five of six home games SU (4-2 ATS)
— Eight of LA’s last ten games stayed under the total.
— Rams are 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY.
— Rams had 15 takeaways in last seven games; had only six in first six games.

— Rams won eight of last ten series games.
— LA won last meeting 9-6, four years ago.
— Jets lost five of seven visits to LA/St Louis/Anaheim

Buccaneers (8-5) @ Atlanta (4-9)
— Buccaneers lost three of their last five games.
— Tampa Bay is 8-0 when it scores 25+ points, 0-5 when it does not.
— Last four games, Bucs converted 25-50 third down plays.
— Bucs won last three road games, scoring 38.7 ppg.
— Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as road favorites.
— Last six games, Bucs were outscored 105-58 in first half.

— Falcons lost three of their last four games.
— Atlanta is 2-5 SU at home, beating Raiders/Denver.
— Atlanta led six of its last eight games at halftime.
— Last four games, Falcons allowed only 17.8 ppg.
— Atlanta is 3-4 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
— Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.

— Atlanta won six of last seven series games.
— Average total in last eight series games: 58
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
— Falcons’ interim coach Morris was Bucs’ HC from 2009-11.
— These teams meet again in Week 17.

Patriots (6-7) @ Miami (8-5)
— New England won four of its last six games.
— Underdogs covered eight of last nine Patriot games.
— New England trailed at halftime in eight of its last ten games.
— Last six games, NE outscored opponents 70-37 in second half.
— Patriots are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as home favorites, 2-2 TY.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

— Dolphins won seven of their last nine games.
— Dolphins covered eight of their last nine games.
— Miami is 2-5 this season when they allow more than 17 points.
— Miami is 8-1-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Dolphins have 15 takeaways in last six games (+9)
— Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

— This is first time since 2013 (14 games) that Miami is favored over NE.
— Patriots (-6.5) beat Miami 21-11 in Foxboro in Week 1; NE ran ball for 217 yards.
— New England lost four of last six visits to South Beach.

Seahawks (9-4) @ Washington (6-7)
— Seattle won three of its last four games overall.
— Seahawks lost three of last four road games.
— Last four games, Seahawks outscored foes 58-18 in first half.
— Seattle is 8-3-4 ATS in last 15 games as home faves, 3-2 TY.
— Last five Seattle games stayed under the total.
— Seahawks are minus-6 in turnovers (3-9) their last six games.

— QB Smith (calf) is a ?? here; big drop-off between Smith and backup Haskins.
— Washington won/covered its last four games.
— Washington outscored last six opponents 108-30 in second half.
— Washington split its six home games SU this year.
— Washington is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.

— Teams split last eight series games (Seattle 3-0 in playoff games)
— Seattle won 24-14/27-17 in last two visits here (last one in 2014)

Bears (6-7) @ Minnesota (6-7)
— Bears snapped their six-game losing skid last week.
— Last three games, Chicago scored 30.3 ppg.
— Bears lost last three road games, by 14-7-16 points.
— Bears are 9-16-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road dog, 3-3 TY.
— Chicago has only six takeaways in its last seven games (-5).
— Under is 7-3 in Bears’ last ten games.

— Vikings won five of seven games; they’re game out of playoffs.
— Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— Vikings won field position in only one game so far this year.
— Minnesota is 3-4 SU at home, winning by 14-1-3 points.
— Minnesota is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite TY.
— Six of seven Viking home games went over the total.

— Vikings (-2.5) beat Chicago 19-13 in Chicago in Week 10, outgaining Bears 385-149.
— Minnesota was 8-15 on 3rd down, Chicago 2-11.
— Bears won four of last five series games, winning 24-10/21-19 in last two visits here.

 

[70Olds]

Jaguars (1-12) @ Baltimore (8-5)
— Jaguars lost their last 12 games, but covered four of last six.
— Four of their last six losses were by 4 or fewer points.
— Last three weeks, Jacksonville gave up 200.3 rushing yards/game.
— Jaguars are 7-6-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog, 3-3 TY.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— Minshew is back as starting QB; he threw for 178 yards in relief LW.

— Yet another short week for the Ravens, who played Monday.
— Baltimore won last two games, scoring 34-47 points.
— Ravens lost field position in only one game this season.
— Ravens are 11-18 ATS in last 29 games as home favorites, 3-3 TY.
— Over is 3-1 in Baltimore’s last four games.
— Emotional game Monday night; Ravens are tied with Miami for #7-seed.

— Jaguars won four of last seven series games, but lost six of last seven visits here.
— Teams last met here in 2015.

Eagles (4-8-1) Arizona (7-6)
— Rookie QB Hurts gets his 2nd NFL start here.
— Eagles lost four of last five games; they’re 1-5 SU on road.
— Philly is 2-6-1 SU outside their division.
— Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-8-1 if they allow more than 21.
— Eagles are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as road dogs, 1-2 TY.
— Eight of last 11 Philly games stayed under the total.

— Arizona lost four of their last six games SU.
— Cardinals covered once in their last six games.
— Arizona has a one-game lead for the #7-seed (last playoff spot)
— Redbirds are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as home favorites, 1-3 TY.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Cardinal games.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in nine of its 13 games.

— Arizona won five of last seven series games.
— Eagles lost last four visits here; their last win in Arizona was in 2002.

Chiefs (12-1) @ New Orleans (10-3)
— Chiefs won their last eight games, are 0-5 ATS in last five.
— Kansas City won all seven of its road games this year (3-4 ATS)
— Chiefs are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite, 2-4 TY.
— Last five games, Kansas City allowed 25.8 ppg
— Chiefs averaged at least 7.6 ypa in each of its last six games.
— Kansas City have one-game lead for #1-seed in AFC.

— New Orleans had its 8-game win streak snapped last week.
— Saints covered five of their last six games.
— Saints allowed four TD’s on opponents’ last 44 drives.
— Hill is expected to be at QB again; Brees is closer to playing, though.
— Saints are 15-22 ATS in last 37 games as a road favorite, 2-4 TY.
— Five of last six New Orleans games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs won four of last six series games, winning 27-24/27-21 in last two
— Kansas City won four of six visits to New Orleans, not counting Super Bowl IV.

49ers (5-8) @ Dallas (4-9)
— 49ers lost five of their last six games SU.
— SF is 5-15 SU in last 20 games Garoppolo didn’t play.
— 49ers allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 33.1 ppg in their losses.
— Last six games, SF was outscored 84-41 in first half.
— 49ers are 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as a favorite away from home.
— Three of their last four games went under the total.

— Dallas is 0-3 ATS this year in game following a win.
— Cowboys lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Dallas was leading at halftime in four of last six games.
— Cowboys are 3-10 ATS this year; last week was their first win by more than 3 points.
— Three of last four Dallas games went over the total.
— Dallas is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as home underdogs, 1-1 TY.

— Dallas won five of last six series games.
— Teams split last four meetings here, last of which was in 2014.

Browns (10-3) @ NJ Giants (5-8)
— Cleveland won four of last five games, scoring 33 ppg in last four.
— Monday was first game Browns lost when they scored more than 7 points.
— Last two games, Cleveland allowed 28-26 points in second half.
— Cleveland won four of six road games SU.
— Browns are 1-6 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
— Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games.
— Short week after an emotional loss for Browns Monday

— Giants won four of their last five games, covered eight of last ten.
— Giants are 2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS outside their division.
— Seven of Giants’ last nine games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Big Blue is 0-5 SU when they run ball for less than 100 yards.
— Giants are 3-13 ATS in last 16 games as a home dog, 2-3 TY.
— Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

— Giants won four of five series games.
— Browns lost 27-10/41-27 in two series games played here.

Monday’s game
Steelers (11-2) @ Cincinnati (2-10-1)
— Steelers lost their last two games, after an 11-0 start.
— Last three games, Steelers scored only 17 ppg.
— Pittsburgh is 3-6-2 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY.
— Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.
— Steelers are +11 in turnovers this season, +6 in last six games.
— Last five weeks, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 72-29 in first half of games

— Bengals lost last five games by a combined 124-50.
— Cincinnati has only five TD’s on its last 53 drives.
— Cincinnati is 3-1-1 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— Bengals trailed at halftime only twice in last eight games.
— Cincy allowed 16+ points in 2nd half, in each of its last eight games.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

— Pitt (-6.5) beat Bengals 36-10 in Week 10, throwing for 333 yards.
— Bengals were 0-13 on third down in first meeting.
— Steelers won last 11 series games, last seven visits to Cincinnati.