Sunday Services

Show*Time

Well-known member
#62
Marc Lawrence

NFL - 5* Game 457 - Patriots (-1.5) - 5* NFL GOM

Edges - Patriots: Head coach Bill Belichick 13-4 SU and 14-4 ATS with a losing record with Patriots in games with an Over/Under total of 40 or more points, including 9-0 ATS away when not favored by more than 6 points; and Belichick 6-0 ATS career with New England away with a losing record against foes that allow 102 or more rushing yards per game; and Belichick 11-0 SU and 7-3-1 ATS career versus sub .400 AFC North opponents … Texans: Head coach Romeo Crennel 1-10 SUATS career as a dog versus sub. 500 foes when coming off a non-division game, including 0-8 SUATS against foes with at least on-win on the season… We seal the deal with this from our powerful sports database as it notes that NFL non-division favorites in Game Ten of the season who were in the playoffs last season are 21-6-1 ATS since 2000 if the are coming off an ATS win off 11 or more points, including 4-0 SUATS if they sport a losing record. In addition the database notes that .444 or fewer NFL dogs coming off a loss in Game Ten of the season who won fewer than 11 games last season are 0-8 ATS if they are facing a foe that beat the spread by 3 or more points in its last game. With that, we recommend a 5* play on New England. Thank you and good luck as always.

NFL - 3* Game 460 - Jaguars (+10.5)

Edges - Jaguars: 7-1-2 ATS versus AFC North opponents; and 7-2-1 ATS in this series … Steelers: 0-10-1 ATS off a double-digit home win versus sub .500 non-division opponents; and QB Ben Roethlisberger is 0-7 ATS in his NFL career as a double-digit favorite when Pittsburgh is coming off a double-digit win … We cement the deal with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any NFL non-division undefeated road favorite from Game Seven out if they are facing an avenging opponent that was not favored by 3 or more points in its last game if the Over/Under total in this game is 42 or more points. We do this because these teams are 16-0 ATS in this role since 1980 … With the Steelers off a division win over Cincinnati and having the Baltimore Ravens on deck, we recommend a strong 3* play on Jacksonville. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#63
Big AL's Sports line


4* Cowboys +7.5
3* Falcons +3.5
3* Texans +2.5
1* Broncos +3.5
1* Jets +10
1* Chiefs -7.5
1* Chiefs/Raiders (UNDER 57)
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#66
BetMGM


ATL-NO

Saints from -4.5 to -5, down to -3.5, up to -4, now -3.5 again

"We took sharp play on Saints -3 (Saturday), went to -4, got bought back immediately by sharp play Atlanta +4."

"Tickets 2/1 Falcons, money 5/1 on New Orleans."

That's largely due to a $110,000 Saints -3.5 play




FanDuel Sportsbook


ATL-NO

Saints from -5.5 to -3.5

62% of tickets / 63% of money on Falcons

Total from 51.5 to 49, with Saints set to start Hill at QB

Tickets and money ~ 2/1 on the Over
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#67
FanDuel Sportsbook


GB-IND

Colts from -1.5 to -2.5 to -1 to -1.5

78% of bets / 73% of money on Packers

Total from 49 to 52 to 51.5

63% of bets / 80% of money on Over



BetMGM


GB-IND

Colts from -2.5 to -1 to -1.5

"Definitely taking sharp play on Packers, +2.5/+2/+1.5. Tickets are almost 4/1 on Packers. Public and pros are on the same side, which is usually not good for us. Money running almost 5/1 on Packers."
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#68
Bet MGM


TEN-BAL

Ravens from -6 to -6.5. to -5.5 to -6

"A few more tickets on the Titans, really close, and money really close, too. Almost perfect two-way."
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#69
Fan Duel Sportsbook


TEN-BAL

Ravens from -6.5 to -5, then back to -6.5

70% of bets / 56% of money on Titans

Total from 47 to 50

55% of bets on Under, but 60% of money on Over
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#70
Fan Duel Sportsbook


PHI-CLE

Browns from -1 to -3 to -2.5

Tickets and money 2/1 Cleveland

Total bounced all over, 46 to 47.5 to 45.5, back to 47.5, now down to 45.5 again, with potential for weather

70% of tickets on Under, 64% of money on Over




BetMGM


PHI-CLE

As mentioned before, 2 big Browns plays:

$250,000 -2.5 (bought half-point) and $105,000 -3

"We've taken some big bets on Browns, but line has gone other way."

Browns from -3.5 to -2.5

"Sharps are definitely on the Eagles, the public is on the Browns. Tickets are 3/1 and money 15/1 Cleveland."
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#71
Bet MGM


NE-HOU

Patriots from -2.5 to -1.5 to -2.5 to -2

Sharp play on Patriots -1.5

"Tickets 2/1 Patriots, money about 3/1 in favor of Patriots."



FanDuel Sportsbook


NE-HOU

From Texans -1 to Patriots -2.5 to Patriots -1.5

Ticket count nearly 6/1 Patriots, money 2/1 Patriots

Total from 47.5 to 49 to 48.5

62% of bets / 70% of money on Under
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#72
Fan Duel Sportsbook


MIA-DEN

Dolphins from -2.5 to -4 to -3.5

Landslide for Miami, taking 94% of bets / 95% of money on the spread

Total from 44.5 to 46.5 to 46

But 60% of bets / 59% of cash on Under




Bet MGM


MIA-DEN

Dolphins from -3 to -4 to -3.5

"This is the No. 1 ticket-count discrepancy this week, over 10/1 in favor of Dolphins. There are hardly any tickets on Broncos. But money is really close."
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#73
BetMGM


KC-LAS

Chiefs from -7 to -6, then to -8 on Raiders-COVID news, dip to -7.5 Sat. night as several Raiders cleared to play

"A little sharp play Saturday night on Raiders. Tickets roughly 2/1 Chiefs, money 3/1 Chiefs."

Teasers/parlays all KC.



FanDuel Sportsbook


KC-LAS

Chiefs from -7 to -6.5, up to -8, now -7.5

Tickets and money in 6/1 range on Chiefs

Total from 55 to 56.5, tickets and money ~ 5/1 on Over
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#74
FanDuel Sportsbook


DAL-MIN

Vikings from -8.5 to -7, with QB Dalton expected back for Cowboys

Still, 75% of bets / 71% of money on Vikings

Total from 47 to 46.5 to 48.5

70% of tickets on Over, but 52% of money on Under



BetMGM


DAL-MIN

Vikings from -8 to -8.5 to -7

"Tickets 2/1 in favor of Vikings, but money 3/1 on Cowboys, and sharps definitely on Cowboys. They took 8.5, 8 and 7.5." Also: "Vikings will be one of the biggest teaser teams this week."
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#75
BetMGM


NYJ-LAC

Chargers from -8.5 to -8 on Monday, but now up to -10

"Pros were laying the points early on the Chargers. Ticket count is close, good two-way, but money is 5/1 on Chargers."



FanDuel Sportsbook


NYJ-LAC

Chargers from -9.5 to -7.5 by Monday, then steady climb to -10 by Saturday night

52% of tickets on Jets, 63% of money on Chargers

Total from 47 to 48 to 46 to 47

2/1 ticket count on Over, but money almost dead even
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#76
Fan Duel Sportsbook


PIT-JAX

Steelers from -10 to -10.5

63% of bets / 68% of money on Steelers

Total from 46 to 47.5, back to 46, now 46.5

66% of bets / 55% of money on Over
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#77
Points Bet USA


TEN-BAL

Ravens from -6 to -6.5 to -5 to -6

"60% of bets and 75% of handle backing road dogs in Tennessee."

Total from 47 to 49 in a hurry, now 50. 57% of bets on Over, but money is dead even
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#78
Points Bet USA


PHI-CLE

Browns open -3.5, dip to -3 on Myles Garrett being out, now -2.5

"Just over 70% of bets and just over 60% of money backing favored Cleveland."

Total peaked at 47.5, now 45.5. Tickets 2/1 and money ~ 3/1 on the Under
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#79
Points Bet USA


NE-HOU

Patriots from -2.5 to -1.5 to -2

"Patriots attracting 83% of spread bets and 64% of spread handle."

Total from 47.5 to 48.5 on interesting betting splits: 67% of bets on Under, 61% of money on Over
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#80
Points Bet USA


DET-CAR

Lions -1, Panthers QB Bridgewater apparently a game-time decision

"64% of spread bets and 68% of spread handle currently coming in on the Lions."

Total 46.5 to 47, 69% of tickets / 61% of money on Over
 

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