Wednesday Services

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Well-known member
#5
Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/21/20

4★ L.A. Dodgers (Gonsolin) -155 over Tampa Bay (Snell)
 

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Well-known member
#6
Wednesday’s baseball
World Series
Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles
(1-0) (@ Arlington)
Snell is 2.75 in his last seven starts.
— Rays are 9-6 in his starts this season.
— Under is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— Snell threw two scoreless innings in a two-inning start vs LA last year.
— He is 2-3, 2.88 in seven postseason games (5 starts).
— Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
— Rays are 49-26 this season.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.


Gonsolin is starting, which makes it a bullpen game.
— Dodgers are 53-20 this year; they rallied from down 3-1 to win the NLCS.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 32-11 away from home this season.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.
 

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Well-known member
#9
John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
11:55 AM

L.A. DODGERS -135
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/21 | 8:08 PM EDT
Tony Gonsolin was 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA during the regular season but he has struggled in the postseason, allowing seven earned runs and six walks in 6.1 IP. Tony Gonsolin pitched two innings in relief against the Rays last season and allowed two earned runs in two innings. Blake Snell was 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA during the regular season and 2-2 with a 3.20 ERA in the playoffs. He has had some trouble with command and he can get in trouble with walks. He allowed three home runs to the Yankees, but he had also faced them this season. He faced the Dodgers once in 2019, struck out four batters in two innings. The Dodgers will have a quick hook with Gonsolin, and they’ve crushed lefties this postseason to a .960 OPS vs. lefties.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAD ML PICKS | +87

2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ML PICKS | +60
 

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Well-known member
#10
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
1:49 PM

OVER 8
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/21 | 8:08 PM EDT
The hot-hitting Dodgers led the Majors in home runs and runs scored. The Rays send out Blake Snell to try and even up this series, but they are really struggling at the plate. Tampa Bay is averaging just over three runs per game during the postseason. The Rays’ bats are due to break out, but they must start taking more pitches while swinging at strikes. The Over has cashed in 10 of Snell's 15 starts this year. Look for Los Angeles to get in some good swings in Game 2. The Over is 10-1 in the Rays’ last 11 games vs. the N.L. West and has cashed in five straight meetings overall.

3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB O/U PICKS | +185
3-0 IN LAST 3 TB O/U PICKS | +300



Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
1:33 PM

UNDER 8
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/21 | 8:08 PM EDT
In Game 2 on Wednesday, expect the Rays to be prepared to deploy their bullpen earlier in hopes of avoiding an 0-2 start. Additionally, Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin has not pitched beyond five innings in two appearances this postseason. Both bullpens should be effective enough to keep this Under the total.

8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS | +540
6-0 IN LAST 6 TB O/U PICKS | +600
 

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Well-known member
#12
Game 2


Some clear morning sharp action, which has been brought to light in part by a bet-vs.-money discrepancy, has landed on the Rays. And this line is falling because of it.

Opening Rays numbers were as high as the low +140s. Now, Tampa is being found at a consensus of +125.

Sharps have been the driving force in that significant move, as confirmed by two Sports Insights Bet Signals in the form of steam moves.

In this case, two such moves were triggered on Tampa at +138 and +133, the latter coming just after 11:15 a.m. ET.

Further confirming the Rays to be the sharp side, their 59% early backing has generated 83% of the money thus far, meaning bigger bets are landing on the underdogs. And while big bets can technically come from anyone, they’re far more likely to come from professional bettors over a large sample. So a discrepancy such as this one certainly serves as another hint toward the pros’ pick.
 

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Well-known member
#13
DraftKings Sportsbook


Much like with Tuesday's Game 1, the Rays are the more popular play in early betting.

Tampa Bay is taking 58% of tickets and 63% of handle on the moneyline. However, also mirroring Game 1, the public likes the Dodgers -1.5 on the runline at +150, a market in which ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on Los Angeles.

Similarly, on the total, ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on Over 8.
 

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Well-known member
#18
Mookie Betts has pretty good numbers vs Snell and could be worth targeting for a player prop. In 23 ABs against him, he has 7 hits, 3 walks, a .892 OPS and just 2 Ks.
 

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