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Boxing

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Peter Kahn

Boxing

Kahn is uncanny when it comes to picking fights. He is an astounding 24-2 on SportsLine boxing picks since the hiatus due to the coronavirus pandemic, returning $2,110 to $100 bettors.

Two weeks ago, Kahn called one of the year's biggest upsets, predicting Teofimo Lopez would stun Vasiliy Lomachenko to become the unified lightweight champ. The result? Lopez outhit the pound-for-pound king from the first bell, winning convincingly for a monster payout. Anyone who followed Kahn's advice won $350 for every $100 risked.

Now, Kahn has analyzed Davis-Santa Cruz as only he can. We can tell you he's betting the fight Over 10.5 rounds. But he has a MUCH STRONGER pick on who wins. He says a critical X-factor you're not even thinking about decides this must-see fight.

See Kahn's picks and analysis before you bet.

Here is Kahn's writeup (posted Tuesday):

When Gervonta Davis and Leo Santa Cruz meet Saturday in San Antonio, both the WBA lightweight world title and WBA super featherweight world titles will be on the line in an unprecedented scenario where the fighters will be fighting for world titles in two different weight classes.

Formally, Davis and Santa Cruz are scheduled to fight for Santa Cruz's WBA "super" 130-pound championship, as well as Davis' WBA world 135-pound crown. Though there is a lightweight title at stake in their Showtime Pay-Per-View main event, Davis and Santa Cruz are contractually committed to weighing in as junior lightweights.

With that being said, the oddsmakers aren't showing much respect for Santa Cruz and don't think the +475 underdog is capable of handing the -650 favorite Davis, his first loss.

Davis, (22-0, 21KOs), the two-division world champion, has overwhelmed his opponents thus far in his career with a 96% knockout percentage. Santa Cruz (37-1-1, 19KOs) has had a fantastic career, capturing world titles in three weight divisions along the way.

The oddsmakers have Davis as a prohibitive favorite for a reason. The two-inch height and reach advantage that Santa Cruz has over the southpaw isn't going to be enough to keep Davis off Santa Cruz in a 12-round fight. While Santa Cruz is a very seasoned boxer and champion who has a 49% knockout percentage, he's simply not going to be able to keep the explosive and stronger Davis off of him.

Most of Santa Cruz's knockouts have come at a smaller weight and he hasn't faced a fighter like Davis, who possesses the speed and power that will cause problems for him. In addition, Davis has expressed he feels his strongest at the 130-pound weight limit.

Santa Cruz's biggest win at super featherweight is most likely his 2017 hard-fought majority decision against Carl Frampton, in which he avenged the only loss of his career.

Davis, on the other hand, has walked through most of his opponents with the biggest win of his career, in my opinion, being in 2017 when he defeated Jose Pedraza. Don't get me wrong, Santa Cruz is an excellent boxer and if he fights the "right" fight, he could cause problems for Davis.

While many feel Santa Cruz is the most skilled boxer Davis could be facing to date, he's meeting him late in his career. The 32-year-old Santa Cruz is seven years older than Davis, who has only fought 79 professional rounds compared to the 261 rounds Santa Cruz has under his belt.

My prediction is simple. I feel youth, power, and speed will defeat the veteran, experienced three-division champion, Santa Cruz. I'm picking Gervonta Davis to beat Santa Cruz to the punch and also landing the bigger punches along the way, causing Santa Cruz problems as the fight moves toward the second half. Obviously, the oddsmakers see it the same way I do and that is why Davis is such a big favorite.

While my gut tells me KO or TKO, I feel the +150 value for the fight to go the distance is worth the risk.

I'm picking Davis by decision.
 

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