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MTI
4.5-Star Dodgers -150 over Rays - Los Angeles struck out 15 times in game two with every starter striking out at least once. We expect them to rebound here. LA is 17-0 in franchise history as a road favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game in which Justin Turner had fewer than three hits and struck out at least twice. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and A and line<-130 and Justin Turner
:strike outs>1 and Justin Turner
:hits<3
In their last three games in this spot, the Dodgers won by scores of; 10-5, 16-2 and 11-2. Wow.
The Dodgers are also 14-0 off a home game in which they allowed six-plus runs, as long as they did not win by four-plus runs. The SDQL here is:
team=Dodgers and p:H and 6<=po:runs and p:margin < 4 and date>=20190500
The Rays, meanwhile, are 0-20 before the 90th game of the season as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as road dog in which they struck out their opponent 10-plus times and their starter went less than six and two-thirds. The SDQL is:
team=Rays and line>130 and p:AD and po:SO >= 10 and game number < 90 and p:SIP<6.5
We are on the Dodgers.
Top Opinion Dodgers and Rays Over 7.5 - The Dodgers are 8-0 OU as a road 140-plus favorite in Buehlers career, when he is their starter and their bullpen allowed runs in each of their last two games. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and starter=Walker Buehler and A and line<=-140 and p:BPRA>0 and pp:BPRA>0
The average final score in these eight games has been 9.75 for the Dodgers and 5.38 for their opponent.
The Rays are 6-0 OU at home off a road game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter, going over by an average of 3.5 runs per game. We are on the Over.
4.5-Star Dodgers -150 over Rays - Los Angeles struck out 15 times in game two with every starter striking out at least once. We expect them to rebound here. LA is 17-0 in franchise history as a road favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game in which Justin Turner had fewer than three hits and struck out at least twice. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and A and line<-130 and Justin Turner
In their last three games in this spot, the Dodgers won by scores of; 10-5, 16-2 and 11-2. Wow.
The Dodgers are also 14-0 off a home game in which they allowed six-plus runs, as long as they did not win by four-plus runs. The SDQL here is:
team=Dodgers and p:H and 6<=po:runs and p:margin < 4 and date>=20190500
The Rays, meanwhile, are 0-20 before the 90th game of the season as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as road dog in which they struck out their opponent 10-plus times and their starter went less than six and two-thirds. The SDQL is:
team=Rays and line>130 and p:AD and po:SO >= 10 and game number < 90 and p:SIP<6.5
We are on the Dodgers.
Top Opinion Dodgers and Rays Over 7.5 - The Dodgers are 8-0 OU as a road 140-plus favorite in Buehlers career, when he is their starter and their bullpen allowed runs in each of their last two games. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and starter=Walker Buehler and A and line<=-140 and p:BPRA>0 and pp:BPRA>0
The average final score in these eight games has been 9.75 for the Dodgers and 5.38 for their opponent.
The Rays are 6-0 OU at home off a road game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter, going over by an average of 3.5 runs per game. We are on the Over.
Ben Burns
USF +11
Dodgers -148
Dodgers/Rays Under 8
Big Al McMordie
Dodgers/Tampa Bay Under
Bill Marzano
Illinois +19.5
Brad Powers Sports
UAB +3
CleInsiderSports
Illinois +20.5
Doc's Sports
G Dodgers -150
Elite Sports Picks
Tulsa/South Florida Under 50.5
Emory Hunt
Tulsa -10.5
Insider Sports Report
D LA Dodgers (Buehler)/Tampa Bay (Morton) Under7.5
C Illinois/Wisconsin Over 51
C UAB +2.5
Jason Sharpe
H Dodgers ml -150
Joe Nelson
Illinois/Wisconsin Under 51.5
Jonathan Willis
South Florida /Tulsa Under 51
South Florida +11.5
Kenny White
Dodgers/Tampa Bay Under Over 7.5
Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
Tampa Bay Rays to Win the World Series (+175)
Kevin Rogers
Los Angeles Dodgers -144
Marco D'Angelo
UL Lafayette -2.5
Mike McClure
Louisiana -2.5
MTI
D+ Dodgers -150
National Sports Service
D South Florida +11.5
C Tampa Bay (Morton) +1.5 runs -120 over L.A. Dodgers (Buehler)
Primetime Sports Picks
D Tulsa/South Florida Under 50.5 (NCAAF)
C L.A. Dodgers (Buehler)/Tampa Bay (Morton) Under 7.5
Rod Stickler(The Swami)
G Los Angeles Dodgers -143
SDQL
LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay Over 7.5
LA Dodgers -150
Strike Point Sports
C Dodgers 1.5 +105
Tom Stryker
Wisconsin
Tom Wilkerson
UL Lafayette -145
Los Angeles Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7.5
Tampa Bay Rays Under 3.5 (Team Total)
Tony George
G LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Under 4 1st 5 Innings
Top Rank Sports Picks
D Wisconsin -19.5
C Louisiana -2
VegasInsider
Big 10 Report
Illinois +20.5
VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays
Tulsa -11
Illinois +19.5
Vegas Sports Informer
E Los Angeles Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Over 7.5
Wayne Root
Dodgers/Rays Under 7.5
Zack Cimini
Louisiana -2.5
USF +11
Dodgers -148
Dodgers/Rays Under 8
Big Al McMordie
Dodgers/Tampa Bay Under
Bill Marzano
Illinois +19.5
Brad Powers Sports
UAB +3
CleInsiderSports
Illinois +20.5
Doc's Sports
G Dodgers -150
Elite Sports Picks
Tulsa/South Florida Under 50.5
Emory Hunt
Tulsa -10.5
Insider Sports Report
D LA Dodgers (Buehler)/Tampa Bay (Morton) Under7.5
C Illinois/Wisconsin Over 51
C UAB +2.5
Jason Sharpe
H Dodgers ml -150
Joe Nelson
Illinois/Wisconsin Under 51.5
Jonathan Willis
South Florida /Tulsa Under 51
South Florida +11.5
Kenny White
Dodgers/Tampa Bay Under Over 7.5
Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
Tampa Bay Rays to Win the World Series (+175)
Kevin Rogers
Los Angeles Dodgers -144
Marco D'Angelo
UL Lafayette -2.5
Mike McClure
Louisiana -2.5
MTI
D+ Dodgers -150
National Sports Service
D South Florida +11.5
C Tampa Bay (Morton) +1.5 runs -120 over L.A. Dodgers (Buehler)
Primetime Sports Picks
D Tulsa/South Florida Under 50.5 (NCAAF)
C L.A. Dodgers (Buehler)/Tampa Bay (Morton) Under 7.5
Rod Stickler(The Swami)
G Los Angeles Dodgers -143
SDQL
LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay Over 7.5
LA Dodgers -150
Strike Point Sports
C Dodgers 1.5 +105
Tom Stryker
Wisconsin
Tom Wilkerson
UL Lafayette -145
Los Angeles Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7.5
Tampa Bay Rays Under 3.5 (Team Total)
Tony George
G LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Under 4 1st 5 Innings
Top Rank Sports Picks
D Wisconsin -19.5
C Louisiana -2
VegasInsider
Big 10 Report
Illinois +20.5
VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays
Tulsa -11
Illinois +19.5
Vegas Sports Informer
E Los Angeles Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Over 7.5
Wayne Root
Dodgers/Rays Under 7.5
Zack Cimini
Louisiana -2.5
Market update
7:30 p.m. ET: Tulsa (1-1) at South Florida (1-4)
This American Conference Showdown features two teams hungry for a win. Tulsa has only played two games this season due a pair of games being postponed because of the virus. Tulsa has played a pair of ranked opponents, hanging tough against Oklahoma State and then upsetting UCF 34-26. Meanwhile, it's been a disastrous start to the season for South Florida, who just lost to Temple 39-37 last week. Tulsa is averaging 21 PPG on offense and giving up 21 PPG on defense. South Florida is similar on offense (19 PPG) but their porous defense is allowing 34 PPG. This line opened with Tulsa listed as a 9.5-point road favorite.
Pros and Joes are united in their support for Tulsa, which has pushed the Golden Hurricane from -9.5 to -10.5. Some books are at -11.
Pro money has also hit this total, dropping it from 51 to 50.5. This is a windy under system match. The forecast calls for high 70s, humidity and 10-12 MPH winds.
8 p.m. ET: Louisiana (3-1) at UAB (4-1)
This non-conference showdown features the sharpest line movement of the four-game Friday night slate. After starting 3-0, Louisiana lost their first game of the season last week, falling to Coastal Carolina 30-27 and losing straight up as 9-point favorites. Meanwhile, UAB lost their season opener but has since won four straight, most recently crushing Western Kentucky 37-14, easily covering as 11.5-point favorites. Louisiana is averaging 28 PPG on offense and giving up 23.3 PPG on defense. UAB is averaging 31.8 PPG and giving up 20.6 PPG.
This line opened with UAB listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Bets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. Yet we've seen a massive line move toward Louisiana, with the Ragin Cajuns moving from + 2.5 to -3. In a vacuum, a line shouldn't move at all if the tickets are split. So we know this huge "dog to favorite" move was caused by pro bettors loading up on Louisiana. The Ragin Cajuns also enjoy a 3-day rest advantage in this one, having last played on October 14 vs UAB last playing Oct. 17.
7:30 p.m. ET: Tulsa (1-1) at South Florida (1-4)
This American Conference Showdown features two teams hungry for a win. Tulsa has only played two games this season due a pair of games being postponed because of the virus. Tulsa has played a pair of ranked opponents, hanging tough against Oklahoma State and then upsetting UCF 34-26. Meanwhile, it's been a disastrous start to the season for South Florida, who just lost to Temple 39-37 last week. Tulsa is averaging 21 PPG on offense and giving up 21 PPG on defense. South Florida is similar on offense (19 PPG) but their porous defense is allowing 34 PPG. This line opened with Tulsa listed as a 9.5-point road favorite.
Pros and Joes are united in their support for Tulsa, which has pushed the Golden Hurricane from -9.5 to -10.5. Some books are at -11.
Pro money has also hit this total, dropping it from 51 to 50.5. This is a windy under system match. The forecast calls for high 70s, humidity and 10-12 MPH winds.
8 p.m. ET: Louisiana (3-1) at UAB (4-1)
This non-conference showdown features the sharpest line movement of the four-game Friday night slate. After starting 3-0, Louisiana lost their first game of the season last week, falling to Coastal Carolina 30-27 and losing straight up as 9-point favorites. Meanwhile, UAB lost their season opener but has since won four straight, most recently crushing Western Kentucky 37-14, easily covering as 11.5-point favorites. Louisiana is averaging 28 PPG on offense and giving up 23.3 PPG on defense. UAB is averaging 31.8 PPG and giving up 20.6 PPG.
This line opened with UAB listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Bets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. Yet we've seen a massive line move toward Louisiana, with the Ragin Cajuns moving from + 2.5 to -3. In a vacuum, a line shouldn't move at all if the tickets are split. So we know this huge "dog to favorite" move was caused by pro bettors loading up on Louisiana. The Ragin Cajuns also enjoy a 3-day rest advantage in this one, having last played on October 14 vs UAB last playing Oct. 17.
Illinois vs. Wisconsin
Weather Info
Winds of 12 to 14 mph are expected throughout the game tonight in Madison, and if history is any indication, bettors should be taking notice.
Since 2005, college football games played in winds of at least 13 mph have hit the under at a 57% rate. And that’s on a sample of more than 1,000 games (551-442-34).
Now, tonight’s wind projection is right on the cusp of that 13 mph threshold (these four figures actually average to 12.6 mph), so this game technically wouldn’t be counted in our sample unless the forecast worsens by a hair.
But adding a extra minor wrinkle to tonight’s weather, temperatures are expected to be in the upper-30s to low-40s, and windy games on the colder side have tended to be even more profitable for under bettors.
To be specific, we can return the same 57% win rate (325-244-10) by looking at games played in 10+ mph winds, as long as they aren’t played in above-50-degree temps.
Perhaps a result of the weather, tonight’s over/under has inched down a bit since opening. It now sits at a consensus 51.5 after being released at 52.5.
Weather Info
Winds of 12 to 14 mph are expected throughout the game tonight in Madison, and if history is any indication, bettors should be taking notice.
Since 2005, college football games played in winds of at least 13 mph have hit the under at a 57% rate. And that’s on a sample of more than 1,000 games (551-442-34).
Now, tonight’s wind projection is right on the cusp of that 13 mph threshold (these four figures actually average to 12.6 mph), so this game technically wouldn’t be counted in our sample unless the forecast worsens by a hair.
But adding a extra minor wrinkle to tonight’s weather, temperatures are expected to be in the upper-30s to low-40s, and windy games on the colder side have tended to be even more profitable for under bettors.
To be specific, we can return the same 57% win rate (325-244-10) by looking at games played in 10+ mph winds, as long as they aren’t played in above-50-degree temps.
Perhaps a result of the weather, tonight’s over/under has inched down a bit since opening. It now sits at a consensus 51.5 after being released at 52.5.
DraftKings Sportsbook
Illinois at Wisky
A few hours before the Big Ten kicks off its season, the Badgers are 20.5-point home favorites at DraftKings, up a couple points from Monday's -18.5, though this game opened last Friday at -23.5.
As such, the betting splits are interesting on this sizable spread: Wisconsin is taking 57% of tickets, but Illinois is getting 70% of the money.
The total opened at 51.5, dipped to 50.5 and returned to the opener today, with tickets running 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.
Notre Dame at Pitt
This line bounced around throughout the week at DraftKings, with the Fighting Irish moving from -9.5 to -11, then back to the opener this morning.
The betting splits reflect that back-and-forth, with Notre Dame taking 64% of tickets and Pittsburgh landing 67% of the money.
The total tumbled from 48.5 to 42.5, with 85% of bets actually on the Over, but money going both ways with a lean to the Over, at 53%.
Bama at Tennessee
The Crimson Tide opened -20.5 and are up to -22 at DraftKings, with point-spread tickets and money running about 9/1 on Alabama.
The Over is also drawing heavy consensus, with 91% of bets / 94% of money on the Over, driving the total from 61.5 to 66.
NC St. at NC
North Carolina moved out to -17.5 by Tuesday, but the number has since returned to the opener of -14.5 at DraftKings.
In fact, North Carolina State is attracting 60% of bets / 63% of money on the spread.
The total dropped from 64.5 to 60, with 82% of tickets on the Over, but 52% of money on the Under.
Syracuse at Clemson
The top-ranked Tigers went from -44.5 to -46.5 by Tuesday and have settled in at -46 since Wednesday at DraftKings.
Even at that massive number, ticket count and money are both in the 2/1 range for Clemson.
The total moved from 59.5 to 62.5, then backed up a bit to 61.5, but the Over is getting practically every ticket and every dollar, at 95% and 98%, respectively.
Penn St. at Indiana
The Nittany Lions opened -7.5 at DraftKings and dropped to -5.5 by Thursday, but are starting to climb back up, reaching -6.5 this afternoon.
Penn State is drawing 84% of tickets / 83% of money on the spread.
The total rocketed from 56.5 to 62, with bet count running 8/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Over.
Nebraska at Ohio St.
There was a time when Nebraska was on the favorite's side of these kinds of point spreads, but the Huskers are far removed from those days. Ohio State opened -23.5 at DratKings and stretched to -27.5, before receding to -26.
Ticket count is 3/1 and money more than 4/1 on the Buckeyes.
The total opened at 64.5 and peaked at 68.5, and it's now 67.5, with 74% of bets / 91% of money on the Over.
Cincy at SMU
Cincinnati opened -1.5 at DraftKings, but this line jumped the fence SMU -2.5 by Monday morning and has remained there ever since.
However, that runs counter to the current betting splits, as the Bearcats are landing 82% of tickets / 86% of money.
Iowa St at Oklahoma St
The Cowboys ticked down to -2.5 this afternoon at FanDuel, after spending all week at -3.5.
It's two-way action on this Big 12 tilt, with Oklahoma State taking 53% of tickets and 52% of money on the spread.
The total moved from 54.5 to 51.5, although the bet count is 4/1 and money about 2/1 on the Over.
Michigan at Minnesota
Michigan was -3.5 at DraftKings on Sunday, quickly dropped to -2.5, but is now back to the opener.
This game is also seeing good two-way action, with 56% of bets on the Wolverines and 57% of money on the Golden Gophers.
Illinois at Wisky
A few hours before the Big Ten kicks off its season, the Badgers are 20.5-point home favorites at DraftKings, up a couple points from Monday's -18.5, though this game opened last Friday at -23.5.
As such, the betting splits are interesting on this sizable spread: Wisconsin is taking 57% of tickets, but Illinois is getting 70% of the money.
The total opened at 51.5, dipped to 50.5 and returned to the opener today, with tickets running 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.
Notre Dame at Pitt
This line bounced around throughout the week at DraftKings, with the Fighting Irish moving from -9.5 to -11, then back to the opener this morning.
The betting splits reflect that back-and-forth, with Notre Dame taking 64% of tickets and Pittsburgh landing 67% of the money.
The total tumbled from 48.5 to 42.5, with 85% of bets actually on the Over, but money going both ways with a lean to the Over, at 53%.
Bama at Tennessee
The Crimson Tide opened -20.5 and are up to -22 at DraftKings, with point-spread tickets and money running about 9/1 on Alabama.
The Over is also drawing heavy consensus, with 91% of bets / 94% of money on the Over, driving the total from 61.5 to 66.
NC St. at NC
North Carolina moved out to -17.5 by Tuesday, but the number has since returned to the opener of -14.5 at DraftKings.
In fact, North Carolina State is attracting 60% of bets / 63% of money on the spread.
The total dropped from 64.5 to 60, with 82% of tickets on the Over, but 52% of money on the Under.
Syracuse at Clemson
The top-ranked Tigers went from -44.5 to -46.5 by Tuesday and have settled in at -46 since Wednesday at DraftKings.
Even at that massive number, ticket count and money are both in the 2/1 range for Clemson.
The total moved from 59.5 to 62.5, then backed up a bit to 61.5, but the Over is getting practically every ticket and every dollar, at 95% and 98%, respectively.
Penn St. at Indiana
The Nittany Lions opened -7.5 at DraftKings and dropped to -5.5 by Thursday, but are starting to climb back up, reaching -6.5 this afternoon.
Penn State is drawing 84% of tickets / 83% of money on the spread.
The total rocketed from 56.5 to 62, with bet count running 8/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Over.
Nebraska at Ohio St.
There was a time when Nebraska was on the favorite's side of these kinds of point spreads, but the Huskers are far removed from those days. Ohio State opened -23.5 at DratKings and stretched to -27.5, before receding to -26.
Ticket count is 3/1 and money more than 4/1 on the Buckeyes.
The total opened at 64.5 and peaked at 68.5, and it's now 67.5, with 74% of bets / 91% of money on the Over.
Cincy at SMU
Cincinnati opened -1.5 at DraftKings, but this line jumped the fence SMU -2.5 by Monday morning and has remained there ever since.
However, that runs counter to the current betting splits, as the Bearcats are landing 82% of tickets / 86% of money.
Iowa St at Oklahoma St
The Cowboys ticked down to -2.5 this afternoon at FanDuel, after spending all week at -3.5.
It's two-way action on this Big 12 tilt, with Oklahoma State taking 53% of tickets and 52% of money on the spread.
The total moved from 54.5 to 51.5, although the bet count is 4/1 and money about 2/1 on the Over.
Michigan at Minnesota
Michigan was -3.5 at DraftKings on Sunday, quickly dropped to -2.5, but is now back to the opener.
This game is also seeing good two-way action, with 56% of bets on the Wolverines and 57% of money on the Golden Gophers.
DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings continues to see two-way action, but over the past 24 hours, the splits flipped to favor the Dodgers. Los Angeles is now attracting 53% of tickets and 56% of cash on the moneyline.
And the public is definitely on Over 7.5, which is landing 79% of bets and 77% of money wagered on the total.
It's apparent that DraftKings is seeing some respected play on the Under for tonight's game. Under 7.5 is priced at -120, but it's drawing just 21% of bets and 23% of money.
DraftKings continues to see two-way action, but over the past 24 hours, the splits flipped to favor the Dodgers. Los Angeles is now attracting 53% of tickets and 56% of cash on the moneyline.
And the public is definitely on Over 7.5, which is landing 79% of bets and 77% of money wagered on the total.
It's apparent that DraftKings is seeing some respected play on the Under for tonight's game. Under 7.5 is priced at -120, but it's drawing just 21% of bets and 23% of money.
Bet MGM
Opened at Dodgers -155 and dialed down a notch to -150, with the Rays +135. The total remains at 7.5, though the opener had the Over at -120, and the Under is now -120.
The public is showing up for the Dodgers.
Although ticket count is close, with Los Angeles landing 54% of bets, 77% of moneyline cash is on the Dodgers.
And on the total, though the Under is -120, 72% of tickets / 62% of dollars are on the Over.
Opened at Dodgers -155 and dialed down a notch to -150, with the Rays +135. The total remains at 7.5, though the opener had the Over at -120, and the Under is now -120.
The public is showing up for the Dodgers.
Although ticket count is close, with Los Angeles landing 54% of bets, 77% of moneyline cash is on the Dodgers.
And on the total, though the Under is -120, 72% of tickets / 62% of dollars are on the Over.