Thursday Services

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Well-known member
#1
#1
ATS
C Arizona

Big Al McMordie
Seattle/Arizona Under 58.5

Bill Marzano
Seattle/Arizona Over 57.5
Arizona +3


Dave Essler
B Tulane/Tulsa Under 55


Doc's Sports
C Seattle Seahawks -2.5

Elite Sports Picks
Tulane +6.5

Gianni the Greek
D Tulane
C Tulane/Tulsa Under

Hank Goldberg
Arizona +3

H&H Sports
C Seattle Seahawks -145


Holden Kushner (VegasInsider)
Seattle Seahawks -3.5


Insider Sports Report
D Tulane/Tulsa Over 53.5
C Seattle -3


Jonathan Willis (VegasInsider)
Tulane +6


Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)
Seattle Seahawks -3


Larry Ness
Seahawks -3

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
Seahawks/Cardinals Under 57.5

Micah Roberts
Arizona +3
Tulane +6.5

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
Tulane/Tulsa Over 54.5

MTI
E Arizona at Seattle Under 57.5

National Sports Service
D Tulane +6.5
C Arizona/Seattle Under 57.5


Power Sports
Tulane +6.5


Primetime Sports Picks
D Arizona/Seattle Over 57.5
C Tulsa -6.5

SDQL Gurus
Arizona/Seattle Under 57.5

Top Ranks Sports Picks
D Arizona +3

VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays
Arizona Cardinals +3
Cardinals/Seahawks Over 56.5
Tulane +6


Will Rogers
Arizona Cardinals/Seattle Seahawks Under 57.5


Zach Cimini
Arizona +3
 
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Well-known member
#3
#3
Larry's NFL J* Thursday Game of the Month
Handicapper:*Larry Ness
League:*NFL
Competition:*Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks
Time:*Thursday, November 19, 08:20 pm ET
Bet Type:*Point Spread
Pick:*Seattle Seahawks -3 (-110)​
 
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Well-known member
#5
#5
Will Rogers
J* THURSDAY TOTAL 'PLAY-BOOK!'~12-2 NFL RUN!
Handicapper:*Will Rogers
League:*NFL
Competition:*Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks
Time:*Thursday, November 19, 08:20 pm ET
Bet Type:*Over / Under
Pick:*Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks Under 57.5 (-115)​
 
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Well-known member
#7
#7
MTI

5-Star Arizona at Seattle UNDER 57.5 - After committing a total of seven turnovers over their first seven games this season, the Seahawks have committed seven turnovers over their last two games and lost them both. This has been a big under spot for teams under similar conditions. Teams that are at least two games above 500 and are off two losses (not BOTH overtime) in which they committed a total of more than six turnovers are 0-21 OU when their opponent is not on a three-plus game winning streak and total is higher than 38. the SDQL is:



The average final score over these 21 games has been 19.3 to 14.3. This system makes good handicapping sense.

As for the Seahawks themselves, we find that they are 0-13 OU when facing a divisional opponent that is not off a loss, they play on the road next, and the line is within three points of pick-em. The SDQL is:



The Cardinals have scored a lot of points recently, but this has simply given us a line that has plenty of room underneath it. In fact, teams that have scored 28-plus points in each of their last four games are 0-16 OU when at least three of those games went over and their opponent is not undefeated on the season. The SDQL text is:




Since 1989 (the start of the database) the Seahawks have played 531 games. None had a total higher than 57. Since 1989, the Cardinals have played 514 games. None had a total higher than 57. When we have a play that we think is 60% to win (which is about 40% to lose), it is a 5-Star.
 
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Well-known member
#10
#10
FanDuel Sportsbook


Cards at Seahawks

Opened the Seahawks -4.5 and quickly dropped to -3.5 Sunday night, then went to -3 this yesterday.

It's very much a two-way action game, with 58% of tickets on the Cardinals and 55% of money on the Seahawks.

The total went from 56.5 to 58.5, then peeled back to 57.

73% of tickets / 68% of money on the Over
 
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Well-known member
#11
#11
DraftKings Sportsbook


Cardinals at Seahawks

Opened the Seahawks -3.5 and spent most of the past three days at -3, then dipped to -2.5 a couple of hours ago.

Seattle is attracting 56% of bets and 70% of money on the point spread.

The total opened at 56.5, peaked at 58 and is now 57.

Tickets and money running about 3/1 on the Over.
 
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#13
#13
Tulane vs Tulsa, per
@DKSportsbook
: Tulsa -4.5 to -7 by Tues., down to-5.5 earlier today, now -6. Ticket count ~ 3/1, money 5/1 on Tulsa. Total from 55.5 to 51 by Wed., now 54.5. 88% of tickets/88% of money on Over.
 
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Well-known member
#14
#14
The #Seahawks


were -3.5 AT Arizona earlier this year. Now they are -3 at HOME . Since 200 team with a 'Better' line at home than what they layed on the road earlier that season are: . ONLY 27.8% ATS going 5-13-1 & ONLY 7-12 SU!
 
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Well-known member
#17
#17
Cardinals (6-3) @ Seattle (6-3)
— Arizona scored 30+ points in last five games, winning four of them.
— Cardinals won three of four road games; this is their first road tilt since Week 6.
— Redbirds are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog, 1-0 TY.
— Cardinals are running ball for 203.8 yards/game in last four games.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in six of its nine games.


— Seattle lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
— Last week (one TD) was first time Seahawks didn’t score at least four TD’s in a game.
— Seattle is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Seahawks scored 31+ points in seven of nine games; they scored 34-34-16 in losses.
— Seven of their nine games went over the total.
— Seahawks are minus-6 in turnovers (1-7) their last two games.

— Arizona (+3.5) beat Seattle 37-34 in OT in Week 7, after trailing 27-17 at halftime; both teams had 500+ yards of total offense.
— Cardinals won four of last five visits here, with lone loss 27-24 two years ago.
 
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#18
#18
Tulane (5-4) @ Tulsa (4-1)
— Tulane won its last three games, scoring 38-38-38 points.
— Green Wave covered its last five games overall.
— Green Wave has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tulane has 92 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Green Wave’s senior QB has started 18 games.
— Tulane is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog, 1-1 TY.

— Tulsa won its last four games, with last two wins by 4-4 points.
— Golden Hurricane scored 34.5 ppg in its four wins, 7 in its loss.
— Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 27 career starts.
— Since 2016, Tulsa is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.

— Tulane won last three series games, by 34-7-12 points, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— Green Wave ran ball for 361.5 jyg in last four series games.
— Favorites covered 12 of last 13 series games.
 
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Well-known member
#19
#19
Fezzik

FEZZIK | NFL SIDE SUN, 11/22/20 - 4:05 PM
477 NYJ 8.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 478 LAC

double-dime bet

Analysis:

Early Release: Jets +8.5





Thursday PROP BETS, 2 stars:

Punts UNDER 7.5 -120

Russell Wilson OVER 31.5 Rush Yards -120

THURS AZ at SEA -3, 57.5

LEAN SEA

Power Ratings: Az 1, Sea 3, P Rating: SEA -3

LIKE SEA: SITUATION

Sea: BUYING LOW

Just last week LA line SEA was -5

What has happened?

Sea failed ATS vs. rams by 4

Az failed ATS by 1, AFTER getting a Hail Mary TD

SITUATIONS FAVOR SEA:

And Sea: REVENGE from the 1st game for a game that got away:

Sea had over a 90% chance to win late in the 4th quarter.

Sea lead by 10 late in 4Q. Az kicked a fg with 3:00, Sea committed a penalty extending drive…….Az cut the lead to 3

Then got a stop, and a fg to tie the game.

AND Sea: Should be FULLY focused on a losing streak:

0-2 @ Buffalo, @ Rams, and committed 7 turnovers.

Contrast to Az: Miracle hail Mary, but have to wheel back for Thurs Game, and Az has over 850 miles travel

Teams only cover 38% ATS in this spot

1st Game: Sea 34 AZ 37

Wilson 33/50 388 7.8 3 TD/3 INT, Sacked 2x, QBR 69

6 carries, 84 yards

Murray 34/48 360 7.5 3TD/1INT, Sacked 0x, QBR 59

14 carries, 67 yards

Lockett 15/200, Metcalf 2/23

Hopkins 10/103

Sea: Bad spots last 2 weeks:

@ Buf (in a big divisional sandwich)

Had just played @Az, SF and had @Rams next

Then caught the Rams off their bye, Rams were refocused

And it was Sea’s 3rd road trip in 4 weeks

Sea: Pete Carroll emphasizing ball security:

-4 T/o vs. Buffalo…. 4 t o

-2 T/o vs. Rams….. 3 t o

TREND: Sea 12-2-1 ATS off consecutive losses under Carroll











Injuries: SEA RBs Carson, Homer DOUBTFUL

Sea CBS Griffen (64), Dunbar (48) OUT, Sea C Pocic G Simmons OUT

Az: DL injuries:

DE Jordan Phillips OUT PFF 54

DT Corey Peters OUT 63

DT Liki Fotu OUT 37

DE Zach Allen OUT 51

All these injuries in November…

PROPP Russell Wilson OVER 31.5 rush yards:

1st meeting

10/25 6/84

Game: Sense of urgency likely will lead to more Rushes

YTD Wilson averaging 36/gm

But I expect him to be more aggressive in a crucial game

Especially vs. a suspect Az Run Defense with injuries on the DL



AZ: YTD: giving up 4.5 yards/rush (22nd in NFL)

Last 3 games: Giving up 5.0 yards/rush



With a total of 57 I expect few 4th downs, AND I expect both coaches to go for it liberally on 4th and short tonight.......minimizing punts
 
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Well-known member
#20
#20
PickWise Sports

CFB
3* Tulsa/Tulane Over 54.5 (BEST BET)
2* Tulsa -5.5

NFL
3* Seattle Seahawks -3 (BEST BET)
2* Seahawks/Cardinals Under 57
 
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