L.A. DODGERS -140
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/27 | 8:08 PM EDT
Blake Snell beat the Dodgers in Game 2 of this series, but the Dodgers are 9-0 as the home team after playing as road favorites when seeking same- season revenge against their opponent’s starting pitcher. The Dodgers are also 12-0 as the home team after a game as road favorites in which Justin Turner was hitless in at least three at-bats, but did not have multiple strikeouts. As for the Rays, they are 0-24 as the road team after a game as home underdogs in which they had more strikeouts than hits and left more than six men on base. Finally, the Rays are 0-6 SU as road favorites after a game as home underdogs in which they struck out at least 10 times. We are on the Dodgers to close it out.
124-67-1 IN LAST 192 MLB PICKS | +1784
5-1 IN LAST 6 LAD ML PICKS | +405
Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (LA leads 3-2) (@ Arlington)
Snell is 2-2, 3.33 in his last five starts; he didn’t finish 5th inning in his last two.
— Rays are 10-6 in his starts this year.
— Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— Snell allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (88 PT) in Game 2 vs LA.
— He is 2-3, 3.03 in eight postseason games (6 starts).
— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Rays are 51-28 this season.
— Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.
Gonsolin appears to be starting for LA, so its a bullpen game.
— Dodgers are 55-22 this year; they’ve won six of last eight games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 34-13 away from home this season.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18
4-Star Dodgers -140 over Rays - Blake Snell beat the Dodgers in game two of this series, but the Dodgers are 9-0 at home after playing as a road favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:F and oS:W and oS:season=season and date>=20170922
The Dodgers are also 12-0 SU at home after a game as a road favorite in which Justin Turner was hitless in at least three at bats but did not have multiple strikeouts. The SDQL here is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:AF and Justin Turner
:hits = 0 and Justin Turner
:SO<2 and date>=20161000
As for the Rays, we find that they are 0-24 on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits and left more than six men on base. The SDQL text is:
team=Rays and A and p:HD and p:SO>p:hits and p:LOB>6
We are on the Dodgers.
4.5-Star Dodgers and Rays Over 8 Since the start of the 2019 season, the Dodgers are 8-0 OU at home off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits and the opponents starter has an ERA higher than 2.50. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>p:hits and o:STDSERA > 2.5 and season >= 2019
Blake Snell beat the Dodgers in game two of this series holding them to two hits while striking out nine. This activates an interesting starter-based OU indicator. The Rays are 8-0 OU with Snell when they won his last start vs their opponent while holding them to fewer than six hits and they won his last start. The SDQL text is:
team=Rays and starter=Blake Snell and S:W and s:W and S:SHA<6 and date>=20190600
In these eight starts, Snell has averaged 4.62 innings of work and has a WHIP of 1.41. The Dodgers offense knows that Gonsolin needs run support and we expect theyll give it to him.
We make the Over the play.