Saturday Services

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#22
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17



12:00 PM1 Clemson @ Georgia TechABCBob Wischusen, Dan Orlovsky
12:00 PMKansas @ West VirginiaFOXGus Johnson, Joel Klatt
12:00 PM15 Auburn @ South CarolinaESPNDave Pasch, Greg McElroy
12:00 PMNavy @ East CarolinaESPN2Lincoln Rose, Keith Moreland
12:00 PM8 Cincinnati @ TulsaPOSTPONED
12:00 PMTexas State @ South AlabamaESPNUClay Matvick, Rocky Boiman
12:00 PMKentucky @ 18 TennesseeSECNTom Hart, Jordan Rodgers, Cole Cubelic
12:00 PMPittsburgh @ 13 MiamiACCNChris Cotter, Mark Herzlich12:00 PMLiberty @ SyracuseACC RSNsEvan Lepler, Charles Arbuckle12:00 PMSouth Florida @ TempleESPN+Dave Leno, Ken Dunek1:30 PMArmy @ UTSACBSSNDave Ryan, Corey Chavous1:30 PMWestern Kentucky @ UABStadium RSNsChris Hassel, A.J. Hawk2:30 PMLouisville @ 4 Notre DameNBCMike Tirico, Tony Dungy3:30 PMUCF @ MemphisABCMark Jones, Roddy Jones3:30 PMOle Miss @ ArkansasSECNDave Flemming, Rod Gilmore3:30 PMDuke @ N.C. StateACC RSNsTom Werme, James Bates3:30 PMEastern Kentucky @ TroyESPN34:00 PMUMass @ Georgia SouthernESPN2Bill Roth, Dustin Fox4:00 PM11 Texas A&M @ Mississippi StateESPNDave Neal, DJ Shockley4:00 PMVirginia @ Wake ForestACCNWes Durham, Eric Wood5:00 PMNorth Texas @ Middle TennesseeStadium RSNsChris Vosters, Max Stark6:00 PMMarshall @ Louisiana TechCBSSNRich Waltz, Aaron Murray7:30 PM5 North Carolina @ Florida StateABCSean McDonough, Todd Blackledge, Todd McShay7:30 PMSouthern Mississippi @ UTEPESPN2Roy Philpott, Kelly Stouffer8:00 PM3 Georgia @ 2 AlabamaCBSBrad Nessler, Gary Danielson8:00 PMFlorida International @ CharlotteESPNUMike Couzens, Rene Ingoglia8:00 PMBoston College @ 23 Virginia TechACCNDave O'Brien, Tim Hasselbeck
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#23
13 of Saturday’s best games
Boston College (3-1) @ Virginia Tech (2-1)

— BC won three of its first four games; their last three games were decided by a total of 8 points.
— Eagles won their only road game 26-6 at Duke.
— Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BC’s QB is a Notre Dame transfer with four starts.
— Eagles covered eight of last ten games as a road underdog.

— Virginia Tech ran ball for 299.3 yards/game in its 2-1 start.
— Hokies gave up 399 YR in their 56-45 loss at North Carolina LW.
— Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has started 8 games; he’s completed only 23-50 passes this year.
— Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite.

— Boston College won last two meetings, 35-28/31-21.
— Teams split last two meetings in Blacksburg.

Pittsburgh (3-2) @ Miami (1-2)
— Pitt lost last two games by one point each, after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers allowed 794 passing yards the last two games.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Pitt has a senior QB who has started 32 games
— Panthers are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a road dog.

— Miami is 3-1 already, but got waxed 42-17 at Clemson last week.
— Hurricanes’ three wins are all by 13+ points.
— Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Miami’s senior QB has started 23 games, 19 now them at Houston.
— Miami is 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Miami won 12 of last 14 series games, winning 24-3/16-12 last two years.
— Panthers lost five of last six visits here, losing 24-3/51-28 in last two.

Duke (1-4) @ NC State (3-1)
— Duke won at Syracuse LW, their first win in five games this year.
— Three of Duke’s four losses are by 14+ points.
— Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke has a junior QB with five career starts.
— Blue Devils are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.

— NC State won three of first four games; their last three games were on road.
— Wolfpack scored 30+ points in all three of their wins.
— State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State’s soph QB has started nine games.
— Wolfpack is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

— Duke won last two series games, 38-20/49-28.
— Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Raleigh- their last win here was in ‘09.
 

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Well-known member
#24
Virginia (1-2) @ Wake Forest (1-2)
— Virginia allowed 41-38 points in losing its last two games.
— Average total in Virginia’s games: 60.3.
— Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Virginia changed QB’s during game LW; this will be Stone’s career start- he was 30-54/240 yards with three TD’s last week vs NC State.
— Under Mendenhall, Virginia is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Wake Forest allowed 37-45 points in losing its two ACC games; they beat a I-AA chump in their last game.
— Deacons have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake’s sophomore QB has started 12 games.
— Deacons are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog.

— Wake Forest (-3) won last series games 27-20, four years ago.

Auburn (2-1) @ South Carolina (1-2)
— Auburn won two of its first three games; they allowed 879 yards in last two games.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB who has started 11 games.
— Auburn is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.

— South Carolina hammered Vandy LW, after losing first two games.
— Gamecocks allowed total of only 156 YR in last two games.
— Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Gamecocks have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Carolina’s senior QB came with the new OC from Colorado State.
— Gamecocks are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— These teams have not met in the last five years.

North Carolina (3-0) @ Florida State (1-3)
— North Carolina won its first three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
— Tar Heels allowed 260 YR in its 56-45 win over Va Tech last week.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 16 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Seminoles are 0-3 vs I-A opponents, giving up 36.7 ppg.
— FSU gave up 353 rushing yards in its 42-26 loss at Notre Dame LW.
— Seminoles have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Florida State has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FSU’s junior QB has started 26 games.
— Seminoles are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

— UNC (+10.5) upset Florida State 37-35 in last meeting, in 2016.

Liberty (4-0) @ Syracuse (1-3)
— Liberty is 3-0 vs I-A teams this year, scoring 30-36-40 points.
— All three of their I-A games went over the total.
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Flames have junior QB who was at Auburn for two years; he has four career starts.
— Liberty is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Syracuse lost three of first four games; they gave up 638 YR in last two games.
— Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— SU’s junior QB has 12 career starts.
— Syracuse is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog

— Syracuse was 19-point favorite at Liberty LY; they blanked the Flames, 24-0.

Kentucky (1-2) @ Tennessee (2-1)
— Kentucky beat Miss State 24-2 LW, after giving up 71 points in first two games.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kentucky’s senior QB has 18 career starts.
— Wildcats are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.

— Tennessee lost 44-21 at Georgia LW, snapping its 8-game win streak.
— Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols’ senior QB has started 28 games.
— Tennessee is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Tennessee won 21 of last 23 series games.
— Kentucky lost its last 11 visits to Knoxville (1-5 ATS in last six)
— Underdogs covered last four series games.

Ole Miss (1-2) @ Arkansas (2-1)
— Ole Miss lost two of first three games, giving up 51.7 ppg.
— All three Rebel games went over the total.
— Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ole Miss has a sophomore QB with 7 career starts.
— Last 4+ years, Rebels are 0-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— Arkansas is 1-2 this year; they lost 21 of last 22 SEC games, but appear to be improved with Florida transfer Franks at QB.
— Razorbacks have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Razorbacks’ senior QB has started 27 games, 24 of them at Florida.
— Arkansas is 4-4 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Underdogs covered seven of last eight series games.
— Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-17/37-33.
— Underdogs covered last four series games played here.

Texas A&M (2-1) @ Mississippi State (1-2)
— Texas A&M won 2 of first 3 games; their wins are by total of eight points.
— Aggies has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Aggies have a senior QB with 37 career starts.
— Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.

— Mississippi State lost last two games, scoring total of 16 points- they changed QB’s twice in their 24-2 loss at Kentucky LW.
— Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bulldogs have a senior QB with 28 career starts, 25 at Stanford.
— MSU is 4-3 ATS in its last seven games as a home underdog.

— Miss State won three of last four series games.
— Home side won six of last seven series games; favorites covered five of last six.
— Aggies lost last three visits to Starkville, by 15-7-17 points.

Cincinnati (3-0) @ Tulsa (1-1)
— First road game for Cincy squad that allowed total of 17 points in beating, Army, USF in its two I-A games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincy has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bearcats have a junior QB who has started 28 games.
— Cincinnati is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.

— Tulsa split its first two (road) games (7-16 at Okla State, 34-26 at South Florida)
— Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsahas 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 24 career starts.
— Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog.

— Home side won all four series games, with Cincy going 3-1- they lost 40-37 (+22) in last visit here, four years ago.

Central Florida (2-1) @ Memphis (1-1)
— Central Florida won two of first three games, scoring 42 ppg.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a sophomore QB with 15 career starts.
— UCF is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.

— Memphis split its first two games; they’ve played once in last five weeks.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 30 games.
— Since 2012, Memphis is 9-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— UCF is 13-0 SU vs Memphis, 3-4-1 ATS in last eight.
— Knights are 4-0 SU, 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
— Average total in last four series games: 81.3.

Georgia (3-0) @ Alabama (1-1)
Line dropped 3 points when it was announced that Nick Saban has COVID
— Georgia won its first three games, by a combined score of 108-37.
— Dawgs are allowing average of 236.7 yards/game.
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Dawgs have a junior QB who started twice.
— Last 10 years, Georgia is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.

— Nick Saban’s absence makes this an odd game.
— Alabama won first three games, scoring 51 ppg; they’ve allowed 1,097 yards in last two games.
—Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made four starts.
— Alabama is 15-12-1 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.

— Alabama won last five series games; last two were postseason games.
— This is Georgia’s first visit to Alabama since 2007.
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#27
Doug Kezirian (NCAAf Saturday)
Guy has been pretty hot this season, so thought I'd post. (5-0 last week, 10-3 overall)


BYU Team Total over 33.5
Clemson team total over 44.5
Arkansas +2.5
North Carolina team total over 38.5​
 

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Well-known member
#28
The Bear (3-0 last week, 8-7 on the season)

Tulane +6.5
Virginia -12



(his ML parlay which I believe is about +146 he says)

Virginia Tech -430
Miami -500
Temple -400
UAB -500
Notre Dame -900
 

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Well-known member
#33
Joey Galloway and Jesse Palmer Locks


Galloway 29-8 ATS

Clemson -27

Tex AM / Miss St Over 55.5


Palmer 21-18-1 ATS

Alabama -5

NC State -4.5
 

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Well-known member
#34
Marco D'Angelo
4% (133) KENTUCKY +6.5

This play is all about going against Tennessee. Most people are going to look at Tennessee and say they will bounce back off of last weeks loss to Georgia. Often when you have a big game and lose you can lose that game twice. By that I mean it was such a big game that you come out flat for your next game. Now to make matters worse for Tennessee look who Tennessee plays next. Alabama is next up so this is what we would call a major look ahead spot or a Sandwich Game. Kentucky is a very dangerous dog in fact I think they can win this game outright and have it Kentucky 24-20. Note Kentucky is 10-2 ATS following a Home Win the L3 Years. TAKE KENTUCKY as my 4% HIGH NOON SHOWDOWN.
 

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Well-known member
#35
Marco
4% (144) MISSISSIPPI ST +5
Will anyone want Mississippi St this week after scoring just 2 points last week? Well when you turn the ball over 6 times you are going to lose games. Texas A&M enters this game in Fat n Sassy mode after beating Florida last week on a Game Winning FG. Texas A&M is coming off Alabama and Florida in back to back weeks and now must travel to battle an angry Mississippi St team. Mike Leach will have his team ready. UPSET ALERT MISSISSIPPI ST 34-30. TAKE MISSISSIPPI ST as my 4% SEC GAME OF THE WEEK.
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#36
Marco
3% (112) VIRGINIA TECH -13
Last week N. Carolina rushed for 399 Yards against this Virginia Tech defense. But Boston College isn’t N. Carolina in fact Boston College hasn’t topped 90 yards rushing in 4 games. This will make Boston College a one dimensional team and that will enable Virginia Tech to bring the heat putting pressure on the Boston College Passing Game. Boston College is coming off a Big Win last week and now runs into a Virginia Tech team that will run the football right down your throat all day long only to hit you with some big plays when you come up to stop the run. The nice thing about taking a Running Team laying a bigger number is that when they are playing with the lead and trying to milk the clock they are still doing what they do best. So they are killing clock and building on their lead. VIRGINIA TECH 38-20. TAKE VIRGINIA TECH as my 3% SATURDAY COLLEGE BLOWOUT.[/FONT][/COLOR]
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#37
Marco
3% (161) LOUISIANA TECH +13.5

Really don’t have a lot to say here other than this line is too high to start with and last weeks close win by Louisiana Tech only winning by 4 points as a 15 point favorite just gives us added value this week. Fact is I believe Tech was flat after playing BYU the week before. We get the Louisiana Tech team this week as this one goes right down to the wire. MARSHALL 27-23. TAKE LOUISIANA TECH +13.5 as my 3% SATURDAY COLLEGE SHOCKER.
 

Show*Time

Well-known member
#38
  • PREZIDENT'S SEC TOTAL of the WEEK
    Game: (123) Auburn at (124) South Carolina
    Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Under 51.5 (-110)

    Play Under the Total of 51.5 (Play good to 49)
    4% play rating
    The high-noon SEC matchup between the Auburn Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks on the Williams-Brice Stadium turf will be old school. The matchup features two teams with two coaches that value defensive toughness and game management.
    The blah-blah-blah concerning Auburn and their early 2020 performance is white noise. Those that are complaining that this isn't the Tigers team they signed up for require medication.
    Auburn's offense isn't lighting up the scoreboard, nor is Bo Nix managing a game like he eventually will. The Tigers desperately want to grind out yards, long offensive possesions that are demoralizing to opposing defenses. Heading into Saturday's road matchup against the Gamecocks, the Tigers rank as the second-worst offense in the conference. Let me add a pair of words to the previous sentence, but do so at arm's length or 100 characters, give or take a dozen.
    The addition to the statement I made that South Carolina was the second-worst offense in the SEC... so far. The Tigers, under the direction of Bo Nix, isn't the second-worst offense in the league. The truth is that Nix is doing, executing, making results-driven decisions. He is a great teammate, and when faced with the problem of risk vs. reward, he is not throwing caution to the wind. As a result, this Tigers squad isn't gaining big junks of yards... so far. The biggest positive, depending on your position, to what the Tigers have or have not done that is positive in my football world is.. not giving away anything of value, e.g., easy points, easy yards, and they are not turning the ball over.
    Nix and the Auburn offense has given the ball away just once on the season. And that wasn't a fumble but an interception vs. the best defense on the planet, the Georgia Bulldogs.
    South Carolina's offensive philosophy is for no better term, a button-down scheme. The offensive line has graded above a C with their run blocking. The same can't be said about the lines pass protection. However, the Gamecocks are doing what is expected of them, controlling tempo and clock. The SC defense isn't as stout as that of Auburn, and rather than being labeled a brick wall, the 'Cocks D is better painted as a card holding union blue caller worker. When it is time to clock out and go home, that is what South Carolina has done. They have gotten off the field on third downs. And as mentioned, the offense is grinding, grinding, and then finally... grinding some more.
    Auburn's offense, from the front to the backfield, is still a work in progress. Bo Nix has contained and followed the voice on his right shoulder and fought off that which sits on his left. He ignores the DNA that flares up and tells him to gamble with high-risk passes and more. The Tigers' defense shows signs that they are not just reacting but working through the opposition's progressions in real-time.
    In a game in which the team will determine the final score with the largest time of possession factor, do not expect South Carolina to dominate the possession battle, keeping the ball for well over 34 minutes a game, against the proud and talented Auburn Tigers.
    Two teams combined for just five turnovers in three games with a pair of savvy starting quarterbacks is a recipe for a low scoring territorial dog fight.
    All week the Auburn players have been told that South Carolina is better in the most important factors in football, two that the Auburn coaching staff are determined to win with. Those two are "time of possession and third-down stops".
    The play in this Saturday SEC matchup is Under the Total OF 51.5 points.
  • PREZIDENTs SEC GAME of the WEEK
    Game: (143) Texas A&M at (144) Mississippi State
    Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 4:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Texas A&M -4.5 (-105)

    Play Texas A&M Aggies -4.5 (play good to -6.5)
    4% play rating
 

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